Noem Numbers Continue to Crater Among Betting Markets

Written by :

Payton

Published on :

13 January, 2026

Amid the criticism Kristi Noem has come under since the shooting in Minnesota, the job security of the secretary of homeland security has taken a hit, at least according to Vegas.

BetOnline.ag has increased Noem's chances of being the first Trump cabinet member to lose the job. Noem had 4/1 odds just a month ago, but now is the favorite.

Noem is also favored to be removed as DHS secretary before the end of the year. Her odds of -200 imply a 67% probability that she'll be gone before 2027.

Who will be first member of Trump Cabinet to leave post?

Kristi Noem +170

Pam Bondi +225

Tulsi Gabbard +300

Pete Hegseth +375

RFK Jr. +2500

Scott Bessent +4000

John Ratcliffe +5500

Marco Rubio +8000

Linda McMahon+8000

Lee Zeldin +8000

Will Kristi Noem be removed as DHS secretary before 2027?

Yes -200

No +150

Will Pam Bondi be removed as Attorney General before 2027?

Yes -140

No +100

Will Pete Hegseth be removed as Secretary of War before 2027?

Yes -120

No -120

Will Kash Patel be removed as FBI Director before 2027?

Yes -225

No +160

- BetOnline Press

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