Written by :
Don Shapiro
Published on :
Saturday's Seahawks vs. 49ers game truly stands out as 70% of the spread action was on San Francisco with the line moving from Seattle -1 to -2.5. Action is being encouraged on the 49ers here.
A Look at the Line Move
As noted, this one has moved from Seattle -1 to -2.5 even though much of the spread action has been on San Francisco. Gambling911.com would note that the line should be moving in the opposite direction.
Power Ratings Model
There one opened on the money as our number comes in at Seattle -1.5. There is a slight overlay with the -2.5. The favorite has actually performed quite well using our own model.
Consensus Cappers
All of our favorite - and some of the best handicappers - are backing Seattle here.
Winners and Whiners are also on Seattle.
San Francisco won the first matchup between these division rivals back in Week 1, but I'm confident Seattle will get the last laugh. The Seahawks' defense will be the difference, as they are talented enough to neutralize the impact of the 49ers' elite play-caller, Kyle Shanahan. While the home team has excelled offensively over the last four weeks, they faced just one defense ranked in the top ten in EPA (Cleveland) during that stretch. Both Seattle and San Francisco have won six straight games, but the Niners' record is boosted by their weak strength of schedule.
The Seahawks limited McCaffrey to just three yards per carry in Week 1 and have recently held Jonathan Taylor and Bijan Robinson to under 90 yards. They rank second in rushing success rate allowed this season. While Purdy has been excellent lately, he will be under pressure from a Seattle pass rush unit ranked fifth in win rate this season. On the other side of the ball, don't expect the 49ers to have similar success pressuring Darnold. They rank 29th in pass-rush win rate and last in sacks, as the losses of Nick Bosa and Fred Warner have been evident. With enough time to go through his reads, Darnold plays like a top-ten QB.
Seattle is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games. While the Niners have owned this rivalry series recently, I recommend backing the Hawks to cover as 1.5-point favorites on Saturday in Santa Clara.
2026 Gambling911 Free Picks: Record 1-0
- Saturday January 3 - Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers - Pick: Seahawks -2.5. ()
- Thursday January 1 - Ole Miss Rebels vs. Georgia Bulldogs - Pick: Ole Miss +6.5 (W)
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
