MLB Betting Analysis - September 23, 2025

Gambling911.com looks at potential value in MLB betting lines and totals based on a number of factors for games played Tuesday September 23, 2025.

Tuesday September 23 

Reds @ Pirates

From ESPN: 

Hunter Greene is the unabashed ace of the Cincinnati Reds, but the club would not be in the NL wild-card picture without the second-half exploits of Brady Singer. After a disaster in his first start after the break, Singer was 7-2 with a 2.15 ERA and 0.94 WHIP, supported by 62 punchouts to only 17 free passes in 58 2/3 innings. The righty enjoys a favorable home matchup against the Pittsburgh Pirates, the league's least potent offense against a righty on the hill.

The Pirates have just one home run against Singer in 58 at bats. 

The Pirates have won their last two games overall but are 3-12 in their last 15 games. 

From Winners and Whiners:

Cincinnati -150 over Pittsburgh is a sharp play for Tuesday night’s NL Central clash, anchored by a strong home edge and a clear pitching advantage. The Reds send Brady Singer to the mound, who’s quietly put together a solid campaign with a 14–10 record, 3.86 ERA, and 155 strikeouts over 161.2 innings. He’s coming off a quality start against St. Louis and has logged 15 quality starts this season, consistently working deep into games. While Singer’s numbers against Pittsburgh this year are inflated (5.93 ERA in 13.2 innings), the Pirates’ offense ranks dead last in MLB in runs scored, slugging percentage, and home runs—making this a favorable bounce-back spot for the veteran right-hander.

Offensively, Cincinnati holds the edge as well, ranking 14th in total runs scored and 17th in batting average, compared to Pittsburgh’s bottom-tier metrics across the board. The Reds have won 53.6% of games as favorites this season and are 11–10 when favored at similar odds, showing they’ve held serve in spots like this. Johan Oviedo gets the start for Pittsburgh, but with just two decisions on the year and limited innings, he’s unlikely to match Singer’s workload or effectiveness. With playoff urgency and a more complete roster, Cincinnati is well-positioned to control the tempo and cash the moneyline at home.

Some of the top cappers we follow in baseball also like the Reds. 

We will be on the Reds tonight at -168

Thursday September 18 

Current Hottest Teams in Order:

• Seattle Mariners
• Cleveland Guardians 
• Toronto Blue Jays 
• Philadelphia Phillies 
• Chicago Cubs
• LA Dodgers
• New York Yankees
• Houston Astros 
• Atlanta Braves

Current Worst Teams in Order: 

• New York Mets
• Colorado Rockies
• Kansas City Royals 
• Chicago White Sox
• St.Louis Cardinals 
• Los Angeles Angels
• Tampa Bay Rays
• Detroit Tigers

Top cappers we like are on the Cubs, Mariners, Red Sox and Blue Jays. 

The Cincinnati Reds career statistics vs. Colin Rea are 39-of-117 (.333) with Elly De La Cruz 7-of-16 against him. 

Chicago Cubs career statistics vs. Hunter Greene are just 18-of-89 (.202). 

Gambling911.com Free Picks Record (59-51-2)

September 23 - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds - Reds -168 ()
September 22 - Detroit Lions vs. Baltimore Ravens - Lions +4.5 (WIN)
September 21 - Green Bay Packers vs. Cleveland Browns - Browns +7.5 (WIN)
September 21 - Las Vegas Raiders vs. Washington Commanders - Commanders -3 (WIN)
September 21 - LA Rams vs. Philadlphia Eagles - Eagles -3 (WIN)
September 21 - Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers - Panthers +4.5 (WIN)
September 20 - Maryland Terrapins +10 Wisconsin Badgers - Wisconsin -10 (LOSS)
September 20 - Florida Gators +7.5 Miami - Florida +7.5 (LOSS)
September 20 - SMU Mustangs vs. TCU Horned Frogs - TCU -7 (WIN)
September 19 - Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Rutgers Scarlett Knights - Rutgers +2.5 (LOSS)
September 18 - Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills - Bills -11.5 (LOSS)
September 17 - NO PICKS
September 16 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers - Guardians +122 (WIN)
September 15 - Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 8 (WIN)
September 15 - Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota Vikings - Falcons +3.5 (LOSS) 
September 15 - Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets - Jets +6.5 (LOSS)
September 14 - Seattle Seahawks vs. Pittsburgh Steelers - Steelers -3 ()
September 13 - Texas A&M Aggies vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Notre Dame -6.5 (LOSS)
September 13 - Florida Gators vs. LSU Tigers - Florida +7.5 (LOSS)
September 13 - Clemson Tigers vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets - Georgia Tech +3 (WIN)
September 12 - Kansas City Royals vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Over 9 (WIN)
September 11 - Washington Commanders vs. Green Bay Packers - Commanders +3.5 (LOSS)
September 10 - No Picks Today
September 9 - Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves - Under 8.5 (WIN)
September 8 - Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics - Red Sox -160 (WIN)
September 8 - Milwaukee Brewers vs. Texas Rangers - Brewers (LOSS)
September 7 - Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New York Jets - Steelers -2.5 (LOSS)
September 6 - Illinois vs. Duke - Duke -2.5 (LOSS)
September 6 - Baylor Bears vs. SMU Mustangs - SMU -2.5 (LOSS) 
September 6 - Virginia Cavaliers vs. NC State - NC State -2.5 (WIN)
September 5 - Kansas City Chiefs vs. LA Chargers - Chiefs -3 (LOSS)
September 4 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Rays -160 (WIN)
September 3 - Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 8.5 (WIN)
September 2 - Athletics vs. St. Louis Cardinals - Athletics -107 (LOSS)
September 2 - LA Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates -165 - Dodgers -165 (LOSS)
September 1 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Under 9 (LOSS)
August 31 - Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Phillies -161 (LOSS)
August 30 - Texas Longhorns vs. Ohio State Buckeyes - Buckeyes PICK'EM (WIN)
August 29 - Auburn Tigers vs. Baylor Bayors - Auburn Tigers -2.5 (WIN)
August 29 - Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets - Under 7.5 (LOSS)
August 28 - No Picks 
August 27 - Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles - Under 9 (WIN)
August 26 - No Picks 
August 25 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians - Under 7.5 (WIN)
August 24 - No Picks
August 23 - Iowa State vs. Kansas State - Kansas State -3 (LOSS)
August 21 - Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees - Yankees -142 (LOSS)
August 20 - Seattle Mariners vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Over 8.5 (WIN)
August 19 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 7.5 (LOSS)
August 17 - No Picks 
August 16 - Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Blue Jays -165 (WIN)
August 16 - Miami Marlins vs. Boston Red Sox - Under 9.5 (LOSS)
August 15 - - No Picks 
August 14 - Chicago Cubs vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Blue Jays -103 (WIN)
August 13 - No Picks 
August 12 - No Picks 
August 11 - San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants - Under 7 (WIN)
August 10 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox - Guardians -122 (LOSS)
August 10 - New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Under 8 (LOSS)
August 9 - Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins - Under 8.5 (WIN)
August 8 - Phillies vs. Rangers - Under 7 (LOSS)
August 8 - Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Reds -118 (LOSS)
August 7 - No Picks
August 6 - No Picks 
August 5 - St. Louis Cardinals vs. LA Dodgers - Over 9 (WIN)
August 5 - Athletics vs. Washington Nationals - Athletics +112 (WIN)
August 5 - Athletics vs. Washington Nationals - Over 8.5 (WIN)
August 4 - San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks -125 (LOSS)
August 3 - New York Yankees vs. Miami Marlins - Marlins +103 (WIN)
August 2 - LA Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Rays +104 (WIN)
August 1 - Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox - Over 8 (LOSS)
July 30 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - Over 9.5 (WIN)
July 30 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - Blue Jays +103 (WIN)
July 29 - No Picks
July 28 - Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Under 8 (LOSS)
July 28 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Over 9.5 (WIN)
July 27 - No Picks Today 
July 26 - No Picks Today 
July 25 - LA Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox - Red Sox -102 (LOSS)
July 24 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers - Tigers -130 (LOSS)
July 23 - Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Red Sox +146 (WIN)
July 22 - No Picks Today 
July 21 - San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - Giants +118 (LOSS)
July 20 - Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers - Under 7 (WIN)
July 19 - New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves - Braves +112 (LOSS)
July 18 - No Picks Today
July 13 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Red Sox -115 (WIN)
July 12 - No Picks Today
July 11 - Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros - Rangers +108 (WIN) 
July 10 - No Picks Today 
July 9 - Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds - Reds -136 (WIN)
July 8 - No Picks Today
July 7 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros - Guardians +118 (WIN)
July 6 - St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 7.5 (LOSS)
July 5 - Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants - Under 9 (PUSH)
July 4 - St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 9.5 (LOSS)
July 3 - No Picks Today
July 2 - No Picks Today 
July 1 - Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers - Under 7.5(LOSS)
June 29 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves - Braves -157 (LOSS)
June 28 - Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - Marlins +136 (WIN)
June 27 - Athletics vs. New York Yankees - Under 8.5 (WIN)
June 26 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians - Guardians -130 (LOSS)
June 26 - Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins - Under 8.5 (LOSS)
June 24 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals - Under 8.5 (WIN)
June 22 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics - Athletics +105 (LOSS)
June 22 - Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Under 215 (WIN)
June 21 - Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Under 8.5 (WIN)
June 19 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - Under 8 (WIN)
June 18 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - Miami Marlins +146 (LOSS)
June 17 - No Picks Today
June 16 - Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5(WIN)
June 15 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays +143 (LOSS)
June 15 - Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals - Under 7.5 (WIN)
June 14 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays +140 (LOSS)
June 13 - Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves - Under 8.5 (LOSS)
June 12 - No Picks Today
June 11 - No Picks Today
June 10 - Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 8 (WIN)
June 8 - LA Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals - St. Louis Cardinals +108 (LOSS)
June 7 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Pittsburgh Pirates +124 (WIN)
June 6 - Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox - Chicago White Sox +160 (WIN)
June 4 - Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners - Baltimore Orioles Even (WIN)
June 2 - Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins - Under 8 (LOSS)
June 1 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays +144 (LOSS)
May 30 - Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets - Under 8 (WIN)
May 29 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros - Under 8 (LOSS)
May 26 - Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 8 (WIN)
May 25 - Miami Marlins vs. LA Angels - Miami Marlins +117 (WIN)
May 24 - Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 9 (WIN)
May 16 - Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks - Boston Celtics +2.5 (LOSS)
May 13 - Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder -10 (LOSS)
May 8 - LA Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Under 9 (WIN)
May 7 - New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics - New York Knicks +10.5 (WIN)
May 1 - Denver Nuggets vs. LA Clippers - LA Clippers -6 (PUSH)
April 29 - Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers - Milwaukee Bucks +8 (WIN)
April 25 - LA Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5 (WIN)
April 19 - Minnesota Timberwolves vs. LA Lakers - Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5 (WIN)
April 6 - New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Pittsburgh Pirates +138 (WIN)
April 5 - Houston Cougars vs. Duke Blue Devils - Houston Cougars +5 (WIN)

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com