2025 Week 1 Line Movements: Cardinals-Saints Game Moved 4.5 Points in Arizona's Favor

Submitted by C Costigan on

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C Costigan

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The initial spreads came out on May 14th and below we show how the lines have changed and where the public action lies on each game.

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Here are some things that truly stand out: 

The biggest line movements:
The Arizona/New Orleans game moved 4.5 points in Arizona’s favor.
The Tennessee/Denver game moved 2.5 points in Denver’s favor.
The TB/Atlanta game moved two-points from a pick’em to TB -2.
The same scenario occurred in Minnesota/Chicago with Minny now -2.
Three games were a pick’em and now have favorites.
One game that wasn’t a pick’em, now is a pick’em.
Tonight’s game has the second largest spread of the week.
The largest spread is Denver -9 vs Tennessee.
Arizona is the biggest road favorite.
Four spreads are unchanged from initial opening.

NFL Week 1 Lines

Thursday September 4

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-8.5)
Note: Line opened (-7).
Public action: 61% on Philadelphia, 39% on Dallas.

Friday September 5

Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers (+3)
Note: Line opened (+2.5).
Public action: 60% on KC, 40% on LAC.
Note: Technically the Chargers are the home team, but the game is at a neutral site in Brazil.

Sunday September 7

Miami Dolphins (pk) at Indianapolis Colts (pk)
Note: Line opened Indianapolis -1.5)
Public action:75% on Miami, 25% on Indianapolis.
Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots (-2.5)
Note: Line is unchanged.
Public action: 55% on LV, 45% on NE.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5) at New York Jets
Note: Line is unchanged.
Public action: 79% on Pittsburgh, 21% on NYJ.
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (+5)
Note: Line is unchanged.
Public action: 78% on Cincinnati, 22% on Cleveland.
Carolina Panthers at Jacksonville Jaguars (-3.5)
Note: Line opened (-2.5).
Public action: 68% on Jacksonville, 32% on Carolina.
New York Giants at Washington Commanders (-6)
Note: Line opened (-7).
Public action: 68% on Washington, 32% on NYG.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (+2)
Note: Line opened as a pick’em.
Public action: 61% on TB, 39% on Atlanta.
Arizona Cardinals at New Orleans Saints (+6.5)
Note: Line opened (+2).
Public action: Arizona 77%, NO 23%.
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-2)
Note: Line opened as a pick’em..
Public action: Detroit 69%, GB 31%.
Tennessee Titans at Denver Broncos (-9)
Note: Line opened (-6.5).
Public action: Denver 75%, Tennessee 25%.
Houston Texans at Los Angeles Rams (-2.5)
Note: Line opened (-2.5).
Public action: Houston 56%, LAR 44%.
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (+2.5)
Note: Line is unchanged.
Public action: SF 65%, Seattle 35%
Baltimore Ravens (pk) at Buffalo Bills (pk)
Note: Line Buffalo -1.
Public action: Baltimore 57%, Buffalo 43%.

Monday September 8

Minnesota Vikings (-2) at Chicago Bears
Note: Line opened as a pick’em.
Public action: Chicago 51%, Minnesota 49%.

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