JD Vance Odds Surging, Next California Governor Odds Up Too

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Jul/31/2025

Regarding that 2028 Presidential Election, J.D. Vance’s odds continue to improve, and he’s now the odds-on favorite to be the Republican nominee.

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“The big reason for changes on the GOP side is the growing negativity around Trump, with health problems gaining media traction along with the Epstein saga,” Political oddsmaker Paul Krishnamurty said. “Trump has drifted badly across all our 2028 targets, and his odds of failing to complete this term have hit an all-time low. We have also seen substantial bets for Trump to be the next world leader to exit post. He now tied for fifth on that list with 10/1 odds, holding the same chances as Emmanuel Macron – whose term expires in June 2027.”

BetOnline reports that on the Democrat side, the book is seeing plenty of action on Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

2028 Democratic Nominee

Gavin Newsom 3/1

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9/2

Kamala Harris 7/1

Josh Shapiro 10/1

J.B. Pritzker 14/1

Andy Beshear 16/1

Gretchen Whitmer 16/1

Pete Buttigieg 16/1

Wes Moore 16/1

Cory Booker 22/1

Michelle Obama 22/1

Jon Ossoff 25/1

Mark Kelly 25/1

Tim Walz 25/1

 

2028 Republican Nominee

J.D. Vance 5/6

Marco Rubio 5/1

Donald Trump Sr. 8/1

Glenn Youngkin 20/1

Kristi Noem 20/1

Ron DeSantis 20/1

Brian Kemp 25/1

Donald Trump Jr. 25/1

Tom Cotton 25/1

 

2028 Presidential Election Winner

J.D. Vance 9/4

Gavin Newsom 6/1

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8/1

Donald Trump Sr. 10/1

Marco Rubio 10/1

Kamala Harris 12/1

Josh Shapiro 18/1

Andy Beshear 25/1

J.B. Pritzker 25/1

Gretchen Whitmer 28/1

Pete Buttigieg 28/1

Michelle Obama 33/1

Wes Moore 33/1

Brian Kemp 40/1

Cory Booker 40/1

Donald Trump Jr. 40/1

Glenn Youngkin 40/1

Kristi Noem 40/1

Tim Walz 40/1

Barack Obama  50/1

Mark Kelly 50/1

Mike Johnson 50/1

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 50/1

Ron DeSantis 50/1

Tom Cotton 50/1

In other news, Kamala Harris announced she will not be running for California Governor, which not only impacts the gubernatorial betting market, but also the 2028 Election odds.

The California Governor race is now wide open with four candidates carrying incredibly close odds at BetOnline.ag.

Next Governor of California

Antonio Villaraigosa 3/1

Xavier Becerra 3/1

Eleni Kounalakis 7/2

Katie Porter 7/2

Rick Caruso 10/1

Toni Atkins 10/1

Chad Bianco 20/1

Betty Yee 50/1

Eric Garcetti 50/1

Tony Thurmond 50/1

Brian Dahle 125/1

Caitlyn Jenner 200/1

Steve Hilton 200/1 

 

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