What Are the Payout Odds if Final Gambit Wins This Year's Kentucky Derby?
Odds for Final Gambit have him paying out $2000 for every $100 bet should he win the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Expect his odds to get longer as Final Gambit has not run on dirt, let alone the mud that is expected on Saturday.
Final Gambit is a 3 year old colt and has raced from 2024 to 2025. He was sired by Not This Time out of the Tapit mare Pachinko.
Key Factors That Could Lead to Final Gambit Winning This Year's Kentucky Derby
Trainer (7)
Brad Cox does have a Kentucky Derby win under his belt (2021 with Mandaloun.
Past Performance (6)
Final Gambit won his last two starts though only one of those was a graded race.
More Reason to Bet on Final Gambit
Final Gambit is far from the experts’ top choice to win this year’s Run for the Roses. But he’s the horse with the most interesting context ahead of Saturday’s showcase.
“There’s a question mark with the dirt, but he’s moving great and he seems to be getting over it well. … He’s in a good spot,” Cox said about Final Gambit over the weekend. “He’s moving fantastic. His energy is through the roof, in a positive way. Not in a cheap way. He’s shown a lot of class and we’ve loved what we’ve seen from him since we moved him to Churchill.”
Why Final Gambit Might Not Win This Year's Kentucky Derby
Past Performance (4)
While Final Gambit has won his last two races, only his most recent - The Jeff Ruby Stakes - was graded (3).
Jockey (3)
Luan Machado has never taken part in a Kentucky Derby. This will serve as his debut.
Dirt (1)
Final Gambit is more used to running on a synthetic surface.
Mud (1)
It gets way worse as the track is expected to be muddy on Saturday.
2025 Kentucky Derby Updated Post Positions and Odds
- Gate 1: Citizen Bull (17-1)
- Gate 2: Neoequos (57-1)
- Gate 3: Final Gambit (17-1)
- Gate 4: American Promise (13-1)
- Gate 5: Admire Daytona (39-1)
- Gate 6: Luxor Cafe (15-1)
- Gate 7: Journalism (7-2)
- Gate 8: Burnham Square (19-1)
- Gate 9: Grande (19-1)
- Gate 10: Flying Mohawk (36-1)
- Gate 11: East Avenue (33-1)
- Gate 12: Publisher (30-1)
- Gate 13: Tiztastic (20-1)
- Gate 14: Render Judgment (13-1)
- Gate 15: Coal Battle (30-1)
- Gate 16: Sandman (5-1)
- Gate 17: Sovereignty (11-1)
- Gate 18: Chunk of Gold (33-1)
- Gate 19: Owen Almighty (44-1)
- Gate 20: Baeza (50-1)
Early Odds to Win the 2025 Kentucky Derby
*Listed in order of post position
| Kentucky Derby 2025 | Trainer | Jockey | Odds* |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Citizen Bull | Bob Baffert | Martin Garcia | 20-1 |
| 2. Neoequos | Saffie Joseph Jr. | Flavien Prat** | 30-1 |
| 3. Final Gambit | Brad Cox | Luan Machado | 30-1 |
| 4. Rodríguez | Bob Baffert | Mike Smith | 12-1 |
| 5. American Promise | D. Wayne Lukas | Nik Juárez | 30-1 |
| 6. Admire Daytona | Yukihiro Kato | Christophe Lemaire | 30-1 |
| 7. Luxor Café | Noriyuki Hori | João Moreira | 15-1 |
| 8. Journalism | Michael McCarthy | Umberto Rispoli | 3-1 |
| 9. Burnham Square | Ian Wilkes | Brian Hernandez Jr. | 12-1 |
| 10. Grande | Todd Pletcher | John Velázquez | 20-1 |
| 11. Flying Mohawk | Whit Beckman | Joe Ramos | 30-1 |
| 12. East Avenue | Brendan Walsh | Manny Franco | 20-1 |
| 13. Publisher | Steve Asmussen | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 20-1 |
| 14. Tiztastic | Steve Asmussen | Joel Rosario | 20-1 |
| 15. Render Judgment | Kenny McPeek | Julien Leparoux | 30-1 |
| 16. Coal Battle | Lonnie Briley | Juan Vargas | 30-1 |
| 17. Sandman | Mark Casse | Jose Ortiz | 6-1 |
| 18. Sovereignty | Bill Mott | Júnior Alvarado | 5-1 |
| 19. Chunk of Gold | Ethan West | Jareth Loveberry | 30-1 |
| 20. Owen Almighty | Brian Lynch | Javier Castellano | 30-1 |
| 21. Baeza - ae | John Shirreffs | Flavien Prat | 12-1 |
|
|
|
|
