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In the Armed Forces Bowl, Oklahoma will face Navy in Fort Worth, Texas. Oklahoma is 6-6 and Navy has a 9-3 record. Oklahoma was a TD favorite by the NCAA odds but that changed around December 18.
The line on this game was coming in at -3 Oklahoma.
BetUS host Gary Segars, and expert handicappers Kyle Hunter and Parker Fleming preview the Armed Forces Bowl game Oklahoma vs Navy. They'll go over the best value College Football odds available and betting trends and share their College Football expert predictions.
Sooners Losing Out to Portal
Quarterback Jackson Arnold is the biggest name to hit the portal but the number of Sooners players hitting the portal was now in double digits.
Key Matchup
The Sooners’ 167.6 passing yards per game ranks 122nd in the FBS. The Midshipmen’s defense gives up 207.7 through the air (48th in college football).
Navy’s 126.4 passing yards per game rank 132nd in the FBS. Oklahoma’s defense allows 212.4 through the air (54th in college football).
It's the first time these teams have played in nearly 60 years: Way back in 1965, Navy beat Oklahoma 10-0, and the Sooners have had to sit and stew in the loss the entire time. Finally, Oklahoma gets its chance at revenge! The Sooners are also looking for their first ever win against Navy; that 1965 meeting is the only time these two have played. The Sooners are 5-1 against Army and Air Force, so a win here would give them at least one victory against every service academy.
Last Game
Oklahoma fell 37-17 to LSU. Jackson Arnold led the Sooners with 110 yards on 14-of-21 passing (66.7%) for no touchdowns and no interceptions. He also carried the ball 17 times for 75 yards. Samuel Franklin had 61 rushing yards on six carries, adding two receptions for -4 yards. Javian Hester had one reception for 50 yards.
Navy defeated Army 31-13. Blake Horvath threw for 107 yards on 4-of-9 attempts (44.4%) with two touchdowns and no interceptions. He also carried the ball 25 times for 204 yards and two rushing touchdowns. Landon Robinson had 29 rushing yards on one carry. Eli Heidenreich had one reception for 52 yards and one touchdown.
Line Analysis
The line on this game is Oklahoma -3/-3.5.
With a fully intact Sooners team, the line should be 8.74. Sagarin does not take into account recent injuries or player transfers. But even before the transfer portal news, there was still an underlay with this game.
Comparables
- West Virginia +3.5 vs. Oklahoma State (Oklahoma State -10.5 Big Underlay) - Dog covers.
- BYU +3.5 (+4) Oregon (home favorite Oregon wins big) Oregon 9.28 Underlay of 6 points. - Favorite covers.
- MSU +3.5 Washington (home favorite Washington wins by 11) Wash 7.71 Underlay of 4 points. - Favorite covers.
- BYU +3 to +3.5 Notre Dame (home favorite Notre Dame covers and wins by 8 ) ND 9.79 Underlay of 6 to 6.5 - Favorite covers.
- Washington State +3.5 to +3 Oregon State (home favorite Oregon State covers and wins by a lot) Oregon State 5.85 - 2.5 to 3 point Underlay - Favorite covers.
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