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The Jets and Bills have split the past two season series, with each winning at home during that span. ... Buffalo is 15-8 in the past 23 meetings since snapping a six-game skid spanning the 2009-12 seasons. The Bills are also coming off two losses, which is quite uncharacteristic of a team of Buffalo's abilities and status as one of the favorites to win the 2025 Super Bowl.
The line on this game was Bills -1 after sitting on the -2.5 much of the past week.
Sagarin gives us a number of Bills 1.64. Lines on the money in the 2.5/3 range have performed quite well for the favorite based on our model data.
Head coach Robert Saleh is gone despite having led the league's No. 7 scoring defense.
This is a Jets team that is only 27th in scoring, and Aaron Rodgers is coming off a game where he threw three interceptions in a loss.
Bills player to watch
WR Khalil Shakir. If he returns after missing last week with a right ankle injury, the third-year receiver could help settle the Bills' passing attack. Shakir has been Josh Allen’s most reliable option, having caught 18 of 19 passes thrown in his direction with a team-leading 230 yards receiving and two touchdowns. If he doesn’t return, the question remains which of Buffalo’s other receivers can step up after the position group combined for four catches on 18 targets last week.
Jets player to watch
Rodgers is listed with an Over/Under of 221.5 passing yards for this game.
The 40-year-old quarterback fully practiced Saturday after dealing with a sprained left ankle and sore hamstring a week after having a sore left knee. A lot of the Jets' success on offense is tied to how healthy and effective Rodgers can be. The past two weeks, he has been sacked eight times and hit 25 times, so the offensive line needs to help keep Rodgers upright. He'll face the Bills for the first time since tearing his left Achilles tendon four snaps into the season opener last year, also in a “Monday Night Football” game.
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