Bet on Every State November 2024 Election Wins for President: Trump vs. Harris

The conventions are over. The candidates are confirmed.

The race to 270 electoral votes starts in exactly 70 days.

BetOnline.ag posted winning-party odds for each of the 50 states Monday morning.

You can find the complete list below the notes, as well as each state's implied probability of going to the Democrats or Republicans (calculated via the odds).

NOTES:

- Democrats are favored to win 22 states

- Republicans are favored to win 26 states

- Nevada and Pennsylvania are both a tossup

CLOSEST STATES (outside of Nevada/Pennsylvania):

- Arizona (54.5% Republican)

- Wisconsin (60% Democrat)

- Georgia (60.8% Republican)

- North Carolina (63% Republican)

- Michigan (64.3% Democrat)

 

2024 State-by-State Party Odds

Alabama

Republicans                    -10000

Democrats                      +2500  

Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Alaska

Republicans                    -2500  

Democrats                      +1200    

Note: Odds imply a 96.2% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Arizona

Republicans                    -120    

Democrats                      -110    

Note: Odds imply a 54.5% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Arkansas

Republicans                    -20000

Democrats                      +4000  

Note: Odds imply a 99.5% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

California

Democrats                      -10000

Republicans                    +2500  

Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

Colorado

Democrats                      -2500  

Republicans                    +1200  

Note: Odds imply a 96.2% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

Connecticut

Democrats                      -10000

Republicans                    +2500  

Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

Delaware

Democrats                      -10000

Republicans                    +2500  

Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

Florida

Republicans                    -1000    

Democrats                      +600

Note: Odds imply an 90.9% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Georgia

Republicans                    -155    

Democrats                      +125    

Note: Odds imply a 60.8% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Hawaii

Democrats                      -10000  

Republicans                    +2500  

Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

Idaho

Republicans                    -20000

Democrats                      +4000  

Note: Odds imply a 99.5% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Illinois

Democrats                      -10000

Republicans                    +2500  

Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

Indiana

Republicans                    -5000  

Democrats                      +1600  

Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Iowa

Republicans                    -2000  

Democrats                      +1000  

Note: Odds imply a 95.2% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Kansas

Republicans                    -5000  

Democrats                      +1600  

Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Kentucky

Republicans                    -5000  

Democrats                      +1600  

Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Louisiana

Republicans                    -7500  

Democrats                      +2000  

Note: Odds imply a 98.7% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Maine

Democrats                      -700    

Republicans                    +500    

Note: Odds imply an 87.5% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

Maryland

Democrats                      -5000  

Republicans                    +1600  

Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

Massachusetts

Democrats                      -5000  

Republicans                    +1600  

Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Democrats taking the state.

             

Michigan

Democrats                      -180    

Republicans                    +150    

Note: Odds imply a 64.3% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

Minnesota

Democrats                      -2000  

Republicans                    +1000  

Note: Odds imply a 95.2% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

Mississippi

Republicans                    -10000

Democrats                      +2500  

Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Republicans taking the state.

             

Missouri

Republicans                    -10000

Democrats                      +2500  

Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Montana

Republicans                    -10000

Democrats                      +2500  

Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Nebraska

Republicans                    -5000  

Democrats                      +1600  

Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Nevada

Democrats                      -115    

Republicans                    -115    

Note: Odds imply this state is a tossup.

 

New Hampshire

Democrats                      -700    

Republicans                    +500    

Note: Odds imply an 87.5% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

New Jersey

Democrats                      -5000  

Republicans                    +1600  

Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

New Mexico

Democrats                      -1500  

Republicans                    +750    

Note: Odds imply a 93.8% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

New York

Democrats                      -5000  

Republicans                    +1600  

Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

North Carolina

Republicans                    -170    

Democrats                      +140    

Note: Odds imply a 63.0% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

North Dakota

Republicans                    -20000

Democrats                      +4000  

Note: Odds imply a 99.5% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Ohio

Republicans                    -1400  

Democrats                      +700    

Note: Odds imply a 93.3% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Oklahoma

Republicans                    -20000

Democrats                      +4000  

Note: Odds imply a 99.5% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Oregon

Democrats                      -3000  

Republicans                    +1400  

Note: Odds imply a 96.8% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

Pennsylvania

Democrats                      -115    

Republicans                    -115    

Note: Odds imply this state is a tossup.

 

Rhode Island

Democrats                      -5000  

Republicans                    +1600  

Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

South Carolina

Republicans                    -10000

Democrats                      +2500  

Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

South Dakota

Republicans                    -20000

Democrats                      +4000  

Note: Odds imply a 99.5% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Tennessee

Republicans                    -10000

Democrats                      +2500  

Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Texas

Republicans                    -1000    

Democrats                      +600    

Note: Odds imply an 90.9% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Utah

Republicans                    -5000  

Democrats                      +1600  

Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Vermont

Democrats                      -10000

Republicans                    +2500  

Note: Odds imply a 99% probability of Democrats taking the state.

             

Virginia

Democrats                      -700    

Republicans                    +450    

Note: Odds imply an 87.5% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

Washington

Democrats                      -5000  

Republicans                    +1600  

Note: Odds imply a 98% probability of Democrats taking the state.

             

West Virginia

Republicans                    -20000

Democrats                      +4000  

Note: Odds imply a 99.5% probability of Republicans taking the state.

 

Wisconsin

Democrats                      -150    

Republicans                    +120    

Note: Odds imply a 60% probability of Democrats taking the state.

 

Wyoming

Republicans                    -20000

Democrats                      +4000  

Note: Odds imply a 99.5% probability of Republicans taking the state.