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Great game on tap Saturday night with LSU taking on Alabama. The Crimson Tide were receiving 75% of the public backing as a firm -3 point favorite.
What Should the Line Be
Sagarin gives us a number of Alabama 5.87, suggesting nearly a 3 point underlay. We don't have much of a sampling of steady 3s for college football but in the NFL the underlay at 3 is very good for favorites.
The LSU vs. Alabama Trends
LSU is 6-2 Straight Up with a 5-3 record Against The Spread. Alabama may have fallen out of the Top 10 at one point but they come into this one holding their own with a single loss. They are also 5-3 Against The Spread.
Head-to-head, Alabama is 8-2 in the series.
What's at Stake Here
A win would strengthen Alabama’s control of the SEC West and keep the Crimson Tide alive in the playoff race.
The Tigers can remain in contention for the division title with a little help.
Your LSU vs. Alabama Player Prop Bets
After running for 69 yards and two touchdowns against Mississippi State on Sept. 30, Bama QB Jalen Milroe's rushing totals per game look like this: minus-31 (vs. Texas A&M), minus-19 (Arkansas) and 3 (Tennessee).
“It’s funny, everyone always mentions my running ability and everything like that, but in the offseason all I do is throw,” Milroe said. “I do zero training when it comes to running. My intent when I’m on the field is to throw the ball because the ball can get there faster than my legs can on any drive.”
His Over/Under passing yards were listed at 236.5.
LSU's Jayden Daniels leads the nation’s top offense.
His Over/Under passing yards were listed at 277.5.
“It’s physical. They got huge guys. We got huge guys,” LSU tight end Mason Taylor said. “And it’s just competitive and it’s just, like, different than any other game.”
Daniels is a Heisman Trophy candidate and LSU scored 49 points even in a loss to No. 11 Mississippi. The Tigers have averaged 53 points during their three-game winning streak since then. Daniels has weapons galore led by Malik Nabers, who leads the nation with 981 receiving yards, and Brian Thomas, who has a nation’s best 11 touchdown catches.
Head to Head Props
Most Receiving Yards: Brian Thomas Jr. (LSU) vs Isaiah Bond (BAMA)
-244
+154
Most Receiving Yards: Brian Thomas Jr. (LSU) vs Jermaine Burton (BAMA)
-143
-105
Most Receiving Yards: Isaiah Bond (BAMA) vs Malik Nabers (LSU)
+285
-527
Most Passing TDs: Jalen Milroe (BAMA) vs Jayden Daniels (LSU)
+102
-148
Most Passing Yards: Jalen Milroe (BAMA) vs Jayden Daniels (LSU)
+152
-239
Most Rushing Yards: Jase McClellan (BAMA) vs Logan Diggs (LSU)
-159
+106
Most Receiving Yards: Jermaine Burton (BAMA) vs Malik Nabers (LSU)
+170
-271
Tigers vs. Tide Game Props
Margin of Victory
LSU to win by 1-6 pts +425
LSU to win by 7-12 pts +700
LSU to win by 13-18 pts +1000
LSU to win by 19-24 pts +1600
LSU to win by 25-30 pts +2500
LSU to win by 31-36 pts +4000
LSU to win by 37-42 pts +5500
LSU to win by 43 or more pts +6000
Alabama to win by 1-6 pts +375
Alabama to win by 7-12 pts +550
Alabama to win by 13-18 pts +700
Alabama to win by 19-24 pts +1000
Alabama to win by 25-30 pts +1400
Alabama to win by 31-36 pts +2000
Alabama to win by 37-42 pts +3300
Alabama to win by 43 or more pts +3500
Double Result
LSU/LSU +210
LSU/Tie +4000
LSU/Alabama +600
Tie/LSU +2000
Tie/Tie +5000
Tie/Alabama +1800
Alabama/LSU +700
Alabama/Tie +4000
Alabama/Alabama +120
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
