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Creighton should be a +9 underdog against Kansas, SDSU would be a +7 dog against the Jayhawks. BetOnline is offering a generous welcome bonus (max bonus $1000).
Creighton
Record: 22-11, 12-7 Big East
KenPom adjusted offensive efficiency: 124
KenPom adjusted defensive efficiency: 18
Against The Spread: 17-14-2
Over Total: 11-21-1
Odds to win NCAA Championship: +20000
San Diego State
Record: 23-7, 13-4 Mountain West
KenPom adjusted offensive efficiency: 158
KenPom adjusted defensive efficiency: 2
Against The Spread: 17-14
Over Total: 12-19
Odds to win NCAA Championship: +20000
Kansas
Record: 28-6, 14-4 Big 12
KenPom adjusted offensive efficiency: 6
KenPom adjusted defensive efficiency: 29
Against The Spread: 17-17
Over Total: 18-14-2
Odds to win NCAA Championship: +1400
KU is an excellent value versus San Diego State on the moneyline, which should be a decent enough price in the range of -300 to -340. Just shop for the best price.
As an away underdog, SDSU has gotten slaughtered. They are just 3-19 Straight Up since 2016 (13.6%).
Against ranked opponents, the Jayhawks are just 2-8 Straight Up this season (20%). So if Creighton is +9, they will offer excellent value Against The Spread. The Bluejays don't come into this one ranked but this stat demonstrates that KU has a tough time against decent teams.
There is an argument to be had that SDSU would be a good value on the spread against Kansas and to bet the Jayhawks on the moneyline to potentially maximize profit potential or reduce risk.
That trend versus ranked opponents holds true going back a few seasons. Since 2017, KU is 11-36 SU (23.4%). They could face a ranked Iowa or Providence team in the Sweet 16.
- Tyrone Black, Gambling911.com
