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The Joe Biden administration is threatening a diplomatic boycott the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing, China.
There are betting odds as to whether or not a boycott will officially be implemented by the President, and the numbers suggest it will happen soon.
The wagering market, provided by SportsBetting.ag, begs the below question, which must happen before the end of 2021.
Will the U.S. Government announce full diplomatic boycott of 2022 Winter Olympics?
Yes: 1-2 (-200)
No: 3-2 (+150)
The above odds give a 66.7% implied probability that no U.S. diplomat will attend the Winter Olympics in Beijing.
Additionally, the website is offering odds on what other countries might join the U.S. in its potential boycott, specifically, which will be the first to do so.
First Country to Boycott 2022 Winter Olympics
Australia 5-4 (+125)
United Kingdom 3-2 (+150)
Canada 5-1 (+500)
France 10-1 (+1000)
New Zealand 10-1 (+1000)
Germany 20-1 (+2000)
India 25-1 (+2500)
Netherlands 25-1 (+2500)
Ukraine 25-1 (+2500)
Russia 33-1 (+3300)
Belarus 50-1 (+5000)
Denmark 50-1 (+5000)
Hungary 50-1 (+5000)
Sweden 50-1 (+5000)
Italy 66-1 (+6600)
Pakistan 200-1 (+20000)
