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Everybody and their mother seems to be backing LSU to cover against Clemson in the upcoming College Football Playoff National Championship game. Nearly 75% of the spread action offshore is on LSU at -6 (some books were at -5.5).
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The line opened as low as LSU favored by 3 and has certainly moved in the right direction based on the amount of action coming in.
"We're going to need Clemson for a whole pile," Jeff Davis, risk director for Caesars Sportsbook, told ESPN.com Thursday.
BetOnline's Dave Mason indicated that action was closer to 80% on LSU earlier in the week.
One week and counting until the College Football Playoff Championship game.
— Dave Mason (@DaveMasonBOL) January 6, 2020
Unless things change drastically, we will be huge Clemson fans -- about 80% of the early bettors are on LSU (-5.5).
Odds> https://t.co/AwVOtKjzgb
Jason Scott, vice president of trading for ROAR Digital/BetMGM sportsbooks, supported the notion of lopsided action on LSU.
"The last time we've seen such a one-sided [betting] event was Conor McGregor versus Floyd Mayweather [in 2017]," Scott told ESPN.
In Vegas, just like offshore, the number seemed to be anywhere from 75% to 80% on the LSU spread.
The exposure across the board will be significant.
William Hill U.S. told ESPN that LSU-Clemson could be the "biggest-bet college football game of all time."
"Right now, it's all LSU," Nick Bogdanovich, director of trading for William Hill U.S., said Thursday. "Current money is about 8-to-1 in favor of LSU and tickets are about 4-to-1 in favor of LSU."
Most lines are derived from Sagarin and the oddsmakers shade them accordingly. Sagarin does not factor in injuries.
On a neutral field, they have Clemson by a point.
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
