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Coming into Tuesday night's game, San Diego had won seven of their last ten games versus the Giants. The Padres are a .500 team while San Francisco is 26-38 and would have a far worse record if not for their bullpen ranking in the time five all season. It should also be noted that seven of the last ten meetings have gone UNDER the current total of 8, six of those five or fewer runs. Scroll down for all of the day's consenus plays, latest odds and game previews.
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PITCHING MATCHUP: Padres RH Chris Paddack (4-4, 2.97 ERA) vs. Giants RH Tyler Beede (0-2, 8.15)
Paddack was 4-2 with a 1.93 ERA after his first nine career starts before getting roughed up in his last two outings. The 23-year-old Texan allowed 10 runs (nine earned) and 14 hits - including five of his nine career homers yielded - over a combined 9 1/3 innings in losses to Philadelphia 9-6 on Tuesday and at Yankee Stadium 7-0 on May 29. Paddack permitted one run, two hits and a walk while striking out seven in five frames of a 3-1 victory versus San Francisco on March 31 in his major league debut.
Beede allowed six runs (five earned), five hits (two homers) and four walks with five strikeouts in five innings of a 7-0 loss to the Mets in New York on Wednesday. The 26-year-old Massachusetts native has yielded 24 hits and 15 walks in 17 2/3 innings over five games (three starts) this season, resulting in a 2.21 WHIP and .320 batting average against. Beede is 0-3 with an 8.17 ERA, 2.21 WHIP and .311 BA against in seven career appearances (five starts).
San Diego had been as low as -143 but the price is above our threshold of -160 overnight.
The total is still appealing here, in particular the UNDER. The line is trending 7.5 to 8.
The 26-year-old right-hander Beede was sporting a 2.34 ERA and 49/14 K/BB ratio through 34 2/3 innings (seven starts) at the Triple-A level prior to a no decision versus the Marlins in which he allowed just one run in six innings.
He followed that one up by allowing six runs in a loss against the Mets in his last start.
San Diego has been able to score of late. They have had five or more runs in six of their last ten. The Padres allowed nine runs in three of their last ten (two against Miami and another against the Phillies).
Paddick is due for a good outing here and the Giants have scored no more than three in their last five overall. San Francisco's scoring over their last ten mostly came in Baltimore (the team with the worst bullpen), 6,8 and 8 runs, respectively.
There is definitely an argument to be made in favor of the UNDER here, but we'll have to monitor further on Tuesday.
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