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Gambling911.com has your Texas Bowl betting preview below for Texas vs. Mizzou where the line was -2.5 on Missouri and wobbling between that number and -3. 65% of the betting action was on the Longhorns being that this game will be played in Houston and the underdog does have home field advantage. The College Football Betting Power Ratings suggests this line is completely out of whack and that the Longhorns should actually be a -6.5 favorite. These ratings do not take into account sidelined players, however, and Texas will likely be depleted coming into this bowl game.
Missouri possessed one of the nation’s most prolific offenses this season with quarterback Drew Lock throwing an SEC-record 43 touchdown passes this season. The Tigers put up at least 45 points in six straight games. Offensive coordinator Josh Heupel has since left to become head coach at Central Florida.
There will be key players missing from the Texas roster, but it’s hard to see how the combined absentees would count for a 9-point discrepancy in the line especially when one considers Heupel's departure from Mizzou.
Safety DeShon Elliott and offensive tackle Connor Williams have announced they will skip the game to prepare for the NFL draft.
Malik Jefferson was not expected to play either. Jefferson was the Big 12 Co-Defensive Player of the Year, therefore his decision to skip this game could impact the line more dramatically. Jefferson has been battling a toe injury that got worse during the finale against Texas Tech and required him to miss bowl preparations.
Jefferson leads the Longhorns in tackles (110) and tackles for loss (10) and he’s tied for the team lead with four sack and six quarterback hurries.
- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com
