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Though action has come down a bit on the Patriots from over 90% the first 24 hours after the line opened to around 80% now, bookmakers will still be heavily exposed later in the day Sunday with New England a -7.5 favorite. Most books have moved from -6.5 to -7.5 but it is difficult to see how scared they are of a Patriots cover. We are not really seeing any strong opinion here. One thing we do know is that the NFL Power Ratings tell us the line should be New England -8. The Patriots will enter this game with a 21-7 record Against The Spread in their last 28 games overall.
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- Tyrone Black, Gambling911.com