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While both 2017 Conference Championship games were seeing mostly even action on the spread, the New England Patriots money line was seeing the most wagering action at a near 70 percent clip and at a not-so-out-of-reach price to beat Pittsburgh outright – a $27 bet pays $10 (the $27 will be refunded just as long as New England wins).
There odds are pretty good here once we delve deep into the stats over the past three seasons.
New England as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points has won eleven of thirteen games outright over this period of time. They have only lost sixteen in seventy-five times as a home favorite within this range since 1992.
More good news for the Pats as they have beaten Pittsburgh four of the last five meetings and two of the last at home.
For those betting the 6 point spread, the Patriots have covered that number in each of their recent four victories.
- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com
