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Gambling911.com noted the other day how one of the sharpest books in the industry, Bookmaker.eu, held the Patriots-Broncos Conference Championship line at +3.5 for all but five minutes the other day. The number 3 in NFL games is a scary number. The fine folks at Sportsbook.ag have been a bit bolder, even moving to Denver +4.
“While it is doubtful books will move to New England -2.5, one should monitor the situation carefully,” suggests Don Shapiro of Gambling911.com. “Bet the dog at Sportsbook.ag and the favorite, New England -3 at Bookmaker should this one land on New England ‘3’ and become a push.
“Or wait a bit and watch at Bookmaker to see if they have a strong opinion on the game and bring the number down to Pats -2.5,” Shapiro suggests. “You could win on both sides should the game land on New England ‘3’.”
Sportsbook.ag told Covers.com: "We opened it (Pats -3) and not even a minute later we had an obscene amount of betting tickets on the road favorite.
"Went from (Pats) -3 straight to -3.5, a move we usually never make, being that it’s such a key number.
"The madness didn’t stop at Pats -3.5 as our customers just kept laying the number, eventually going to 4."
- Tyrone Black, Gambling911.com
