Free Baseball Pick – September 7

Submitted by Dan Shapiro on

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Dan Shapiro

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Gambling911.com is absolutely getting manhandled this early portion of September, experiencing our worst rut yet.  Let’s see if today is the turnaround.

LA Dodgers +103 - Dodgers RH Zack Greinke (14-3, 2.78 ERA) vs. Reds RH Mat Latos (14-5, 2.98)

Two top pitchers go up against one another in this game. 

Greinke, who has pitched well against the Reds in the past, lost for the first time in five career decisions versus Cincinnati on July 25, allowing four runs on six hits.

He is 4-1 when starting against Cincinnati with an ERA of 2.94 and a WHIP of 0.878.

Latos, on the other hand, is 3-6 when starting against the Dodgers with an ERA of 2.32 and a WHIP of 1.081.

The Dodgers are 19-4 when Greinke takes the mound this season.

LA are 24-5 in their last 29 road games.

 

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 7.5 – Pirates LH Jeff Locke (9-4, 3.22 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (15-9, 3.14) Both these top pitchers have been winless of late.  They have enjoyed success against one another in the past.

Wainwright is 8-4 when starting against Pittsburgh with an ERA of 4.92 and a WHIP of 1.453.

The UNDER is just 1-12 in these 14 games where Wainwright has faced Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh OF Andrew McCutchen has seven hits - including two homers - and six runs scored during his five-game hitting streak.

Jon Jay, while struggling in recent outings, managed to go 3 for 3 yesterday in the start of the series.

Matt Carpenter of St. Louis is enjoying a seven-game hitting streak, though he has not performed well versus Locke in the past.

The OVER is 4-0-1 in Locke's last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

The OVER is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.

The OVER is 5-1-1 in Cardinals last 7 overall.

 

Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8.5 – White Sox LH Hector Santiago (4-8, 3.43 ERA) vs. Orioles LH Wei-Yin Chen (7-7, 3.87)

9 of the last 10 games in this series have gone UNDER the current total.

Santiago is coming back from extended rest after getting clobbered in his last start.  He has not pitched particularly well in recent weeks, however, he did enjoy a solid performance against Baltimore back on July 9. 

The White Sox have only scored more than 4 runs in two of their last eight games.  Baltimore has only done so in seven of their last ten games.

Chen made a pair of starts against the White Sox last year, allowing two runs in each and he comes into this game struggling so there should be some sense of desperation on his part.

 

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