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San Diego finds itself in a rare position as a home underdog as the Packers-Chargers spread opened at -6 and has since dropped a half point to -5.5 in favor of the visiting team, Green Bay. The Chargers are indeed 5-0 Against The Spread as a home underdog. Over 90 percent of those betting the spread were backing Green Bay here so Gambling911.com does not see a situation where the line will drop further than 5.5.
The Chargers come into this game having dropped to 4-3 after losing to the Kansas City Chiefs Monday night. Three teams in the AFC West are tied for the top spot currently. San Diego was still the -150 favorite to win the division while both the Chiefs and Raiders would pay out just over $200 each on a $100 bet.
Green Bay comes into this game as the only undefeated team in the league. The Packers found themselves a -5.5 favorite when they last played San Diego in 2007 at home, winning that one by 7 points. They are 6-2 Against The Spread in their last 8 road games. The Packers are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win. Green Bay is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
In addition to being 5-0 ATS as a home underdog, the Chargers are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. They are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
