Mavs vs. Heat Pick – Game 1 of the 2011 NBA Finals

Gambling911.com has your Mavs vs. Heat pick for Game 1 of the 2011 NBA Finals.

This game goes off on Tuesday June 4 at 9 pm ET.

The line on this game should be Heat -3.5 to -4.  The line actually opened at -4.5, indicating a slight overlay.  Such slight overlays suggest that oddsmakers are attempting to get more action on the favorite so, in this scenario, Dallas has the advantage Against The Spread. 

Against Southeast Division opponents, Dallas is 8-2 Against The Spread, with a winning percentage of 80 percent. 

When playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season, Dallas has won Against The Spread 71 percent of the time. 

After winning 3 or more consecutive games, Dallas has covered the spread 73 percent of the time. 

Dallas has won its last three games against Miami outright. 

Gambling911.com’s Mavs vs. Heat pick on Game 1 of the 2011 NBA Finals is on Dallas as a +4.5 underdog. 

Five of six games in this series have gone OVER the total, which was set at 187.

After 3 or more consecutive wins, the OVER has gone 29-12 for Dallas. 

After scoring 85 points or less, the OVER has gone 28-10 for Miami. 

In this series, Gambling911.com pick is on the OVER for each of the games provided the oddsmakers do not go overboard shaving the line.   We should note that the last three games have gone OVER the total. 

Mavs vs. Heat Series Prices courtesy of SBG Global here

- Tyrone Black, Gambling911.com