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After opening at Miami -3.5 earlier in the week, the Browns vs. Dolphins line sat at -5 at all the online sportsbooks while most of the brick and mortar operations had Miami listed at -4.5. There was even action on the spread and on the 43 total. A majority of people believe the Browns can win outright with 70 percent betting the money line. That would pay out $20 for every $10 bet.
Cleveland has looked good this season despite their 4 wins thus far. This is, after all, the team that went into New Orleans a few weeks back and won against the reigning Super Bowl champions. Last week, the Browns just managed to squeak by against Carolina at home, beating the pathetic one-win Panthers by a single point.
The Dolphins, meanwhile, managed to beat another surprise team, the Oakland Raiders, on the road. That helped the 6-5 Dolphins go 5-1 on the road. They have not played as well at home this season. Against the Spread, the Dolphins are 2-14 in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Chad Henne threw for 307 yards and two touchdowns, becoming the first Dolphins QB to throw for 300 yards and a pair of TDs on the road since Dan Marino in 1999.
There are some important trends to consider before betting on the Browns vs. Dolphins game that appear below.
Again, Gambling911.com cannot stress the edge Cleveland has coming into Miami based on the Dolphins horrible home ATS record. As we already pointed out, the Dolphins are 2-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 while they are 6-26 ATS in their last 32 games as a home favorite. The Browns, meanwhile, are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0. (edge: Browns)
The Browns are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. AFC.
Cleveland is 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.
There are no other major trends that stand out favoring Miami coming into this matchup.
- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com
