'Sucker' Line Alert in Jacksonville Sunday?

Written by:
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Published on:
Oct/27/2024

The lowly Jacksonville Jaguars host Green Bay Sunday with a line that screams "HEY SUCKERS!".  Update: Green Bay wins by 3 but fail to cover with the line at -3.5/4.

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Line Analysis and Action

  • Opening Line - Green Bay opened at -4 in Jacksonville.
  • Line Trend - The line has moved from -4.5 (much of the early part of the week) to -3.5 (Sunday morning only).
  • Sagarin Number - Sagarin has Green Bay at -7.5, indicating a significant underlay.   
  • Action - 76% of money on Packers and 82% of tickets on Packers.

Historic Comparables

LA Chargers -3.5 to -3 Atlanta:  The home dog Atlanta covers with LA having a 3-point win.  The number we got ahead of this game was 4.86, indicating n underlay of 1.5 to 2.

Game Analysis

Jacksonville is feeling better about itself following a 32-16 victory over New England in London. The Jaguars played their best game of the season and hope to have come carryover back across the pond.

“I definitely feel like we have some momentum, especially compared to where we were the first month of the season,” quarterback Trevor Lawrence said. “Obviously, it hasn’t always been perfect, but I really do feel like we’ve trusted our process. We’ve trusted the coaches, the players, our teammates around us, and we have found some success here lately. We just have to do it again.”

Injuries

Lawrence could be without his college teammate in running back Travis Etienne, who is dealing with a persistent hamstring injury ahead of this game.  Tank Bigsby will likely need to fill in.

Corey Ballentine, a core special teamer, is listed as doubtful with an ankle injury for the Packers.

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