Patrick Mahomes Total Passing Yards Prop Bet vs. Steelers

Patrick Mahomes said he thinks his ankle “should be in a better place” for Week 17 against the Steelers.

BetUS had Mahomes passing yard total set at 256.5 for this game.

Mahomes completed 28-of-41 passes for 260 yards and a touchdown in Kansas City’s 27-19, Week 16 win over the Texans.

Before that game he completed 19-of-38 passes for 159 yards and two touchdowns in the Chiefs’ 21-7, Week 15 win over the Browns before departing early with a right ankle injury.

Line Analysis and Action

Action was balanced on this game.

The line has moved from Chiefs -2 to -2.5.  Sagarin gives us a number of KC 1.75.

Comparables

• Ravens -2.5 Bengals (Ravens 2.79 On The Money) - Road favorite covers.
• Buffalo -2.5 LA Rams (road favorite Buffalo covers with big win) Buffalo 2.21 On the Money - Road favorite covers.

Chiefs Player to Watch

WR Marquise Brown, who hurt his shoulder on the first play of the preseason and landed on injured reserve, made an impressive regular-season debut against Houston last week. “Hollywood” caught five passes for 45 yards, including an early 13-yarder that converted a fourth down and led to an eventual touchdown. But perhaps most importantly, Brown's mere presence kept Houston from double-teaming Xavier Worthy, DeAndre Hopkins and Travis Kelce all afternoon.

Steelers Player to Watch

LB T.J. Watt. The perennial All-Pro is dealing with an ankle injury and had a quiet game in the loss to Baltimore, finishing with just four tackles and didn’t have a single hit against Ravens QB Lamar Jackson. Pittsburgh's best chance at pulling the upset relies heavily on disrupting Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes at every turn. To do it, Watt will need to do some Watt-like things. The 30-year-old leads the NFL in forced fumbles for a defense that thrives on takeaways.

Key Matchup

Steelers RBs Jaylen Warren and Najee Harris against the Chiefs rush defense, which is ranked third in the NFL and allowing just 91.4 yards per game. The Chiefs held the Texans' Joe Mixon to just 57 yards rushing last week, the latest in a season-long trend of shutting down top running backs. The Browns' Nick Chubb had 41 yards the previous week, and the Ravens' Derrick Henry, the Falcons' Bijan Robinson and the Saints' Alvin Kamara are among those who have similarly struggled against Kansas City.