MNF Prop Betting – Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:

It won’t be as much fun as the last Monday Night Football game, but the Week 12 confrontation between AFC South rivals Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans will have plenty of prop bet action available at

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The visiting Titans dodged a bullet with Marcus Mariota, who is expected to start after leaving the previous game with an injury. Mariota was playing his best football of the season leading the Titans to wins over Dallas and New England. His absence last week caused the unit to sputter. Meanwhile, the Texans can further distance themselves from the rest of the division with their eighth straight victory.

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

Date and Time: Monday, November 26, 2018, 8:15 p.m. ET

Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX

NFL Odds: Texans -4, O/U 41.5

Titans at Texans TV Coverage: ESPN

The Texans could be the Rodney Dangerfield of the AFC as they continue to get no respect despite winning seven games in a row. They’ve won when scoring a lot of points and they’ve been victorious in low-scoring affairs. And recently, Houston has been damn lucky, which is a good sign for a team looking to bounce back from finishing in the division cellar a year ago.

We expected the Texans to have more success than last season and they have delivered. The loss of Deshaun Watson in 2017 hurt the offense, then J.J. Watt, Whitney Mercilus and others going down left the team without a number of notable stars and it was just too much to overcome. Sensing the dilemma Bill O’Brien faced last year, the coach was retained. And given a full lineup, he’s proven to be an admirable leader.

Both teams have relied on their defense to produce wins. The Titans are a top-10 group in total defense and own the second-best scoring defense in the NFL, and that’s after they gave up 38 to Indianapolis last week. The Colts used a balanced attack and Houston will look to Watson to deliver something similar. Watson hasn’t thrown for more than 239 yards in any of his past five games, but he does have 10 touchdown passes in that span.

The loss of Will Fuller hurt the passing game, but Watson is looking forward to having Keke Coutee back on the field. With DeAndre Hopkins drawing plenty of attention, Coutee was free to make five catches for 77 yards last week in his first game since missing a pair. Along with Demaryious Thomas, the receiving corps is what it’s going to be moving forward and Watson will look to exploit Tennessee’s secondary.

Watson has thrown at least one scoring pass in every game and has 18 for the year, with eight of those going to Hopkins. The two have a bond near the goal line and taking a prop at on Hopkins to score a touchdown would be worth the gamble. Also, the numbers haven’t been inflated over the last few games, but I expect the Titans to open things up to try and get a jump in this game. Watson will have plenty of opportunities to surpass his passing yard total so I’m taking the over.

The Texans haven’t scored as much as I’m sure they would like due to some serious flaws in their red zone execution. They are 29th in red zone touchdown percentage and have turned to Ka’imi Fairbairn too many times. Playing one game fewer than the rest of the league, Fairbairn leads the NFL with 27 field goal attempts and his 22 made field goals are one off the league lead. He’s made multiple field goals in eight games and the offense isn’t going to have its way with the Titans defense, so expect more three-pointers. And siding with the Texans’ kicker on a prop bet at to hit more than one field goal likes like a gimme,

It appears as though Mariota is going to play on Monday night, but the injury concerns are more prevalent than ever. The former Heisman winner left last week’s game against the Colts and the team struggled to move the football. They had problems before Mariota left, so it’s hard to pin the woes on the absence of the starter. Mariota and the offense have been way too inconsistent this season and they are one of the worst at moving and scoring the football. Tennessee beat Houston earlier this season, but they had to run a number of trick plays with Mariota out of the lineup for that game.

With the Texans already getting beat once by the trickeration, it’s not going to happen a second time. Look for Houston to lock down on the ground game, forcing Mariota to try and win this game through the air. That’s not going to happen. I can see some quarterback sacks with Watt applying the pressure, and Tyrann Mathieu is waiting for an interception. Taking the under on Tennessee’s point total on a prop bet at is a smart play.

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