MLB Betting Analysis - May 30, 2025
Gambling911.com looks at potential value in MLB betting lines and totals based on a number of factors for May 30, 2025. Place your bets at BetUS here and claim up to a 125% welcome bonus.
Friday May 30 Games Outlook
Brewers vs Phillies
Philadelphia went from a -146 to -115 favorite yet much of the action (greater than 65%) was on the Phillies moneyline.
PITCHING PROBABLES: Brewers: D.L. Hall (1-0, 3.86 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, one strikeout); Phillies: Taijuan Walker (2-3, 2.97 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 33 strikeouts)
Hall (lat) threw three shutout innings while securing a win for Triple-A Nashville on Wednesday.
Walker picked a win while allowing three runs over five innings against the Rockies his last start May 21.
Philadelphia has won five of the last seven games in this series.
Storms could impact this game towards the end.
Rockies vs. Mets
Very lopsided Over action here at 8 but it is telling that some of the recreational books were still sitting on the 7.5.
New York Mets career statistics vs. Kyle Freeland are just .195 in 82 at bats.
Freeland was tagged for eight runs — four earned — in 4 2/3 innings Saturday in a loss to the Yankees. He previously gave up just one run over 5 1/3 innings with six strikeouts, but he didn’t factor into the decision Monday against the Phillies.
Colorado Rockies career statistics vs. David Peterson have 12 hits in 40 at bats.
Peterson hurled 7 2/3 innings of two-run baseball to get a win Saturday over the Dodgers.
Thursday May 29 Games Outlook
Yesterday, had we made all our suggested plays we would have managed to go 2-0. Instead, we opted to sit on the sidelines.
Rays @ Astros
Very lopsided action on the Over 8 for this game. Very few books were moving to the 8.5 early to encourage more action on the Under. This includes some of the recreational books we follow.
PITCHING PROBABLES: Rays: Shane Baz (4-3, 4.94 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 52 strikeouts); Astros: Ryan Gusto (3-2, 4.58 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 38 strikeouts)
Baz held the Blue Jays to one run in 5 2/3 innings in a win Saturday but allowed five runs in his prior start.
Astros career statistics vs. Baz have only hit one homer in 34 at bats.
Gusto allowed two runs over 4 2/3 innings against the Mariners on Friday. He kept the Rangers scoreless in a relief role.
Six of the last ten in this series have resulted in games staying Under 8.
Such as bad loss as this one was looking to stay Under then Tampa went on a scoring frenzy during the 7th and 8th innings with ten runs scored.
Wednesday May 28 Games Outlook
While we had some enticing opportunities crying out yesterday, we resisted and that provided to be the right move.
Rockies @ Cubs
Today we've seen heavy lopsided action on the Rockies-Cubs total, but interestingly enough, Bovada dropped this number to 7.5.
The last two totals have stayed at Under 7.5.
The question is: Do you really want to trust Colorado's starter Tanner Gordon in an Under situation? Probably not.
This one did manage to stay well Under at 2-1.
Blue Jays @ Rangers
We really, really want to pounce on the Toronto Blue Jays in this series.
Today's line was once again dropping with Texas going from a -152 favorite to -128 and some books have the Rangers seeing greater than 70% of the action.
Texas has only won three of their last ten games and both teams are at the .500 mark for the most part. Texas is 3-2 in the last five meetings versus Toronto, a team that has won five of their last ten overall.
Eric Lauer gave up three runs in 4 1/3 innings Friday in a loss to the Rays. Lauer allowed one run with five strikeouts over three innings in a no-decision against the Tigers on Saturday. Prior to this, he picked up a victory.
Tyler Mahle allowed five hits and three runs with three walks and three strikeouts over five innings in a loss to the White Sox on Friday. Mahle still hasn’t given up more than two runs in any start this season.
We were still on the fence with Toronto as of Wednesday morning, but they do look slightly more appealing than they did on Tuesday.
We remained on the fence. Toronto won 2-0.
Gambling911.com Free Picks Record
- May 30 - Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets - Under 8 ()
- May 29 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros - Under 8 (LOSS)
- May 26 - Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 8 (WIN)
- May 25 - Miami Marlins vs. LA Angels - Miami Marlins +117 (WIN)
- May 24 - Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 9 (WIN)
- May 16 - Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks - Boston Celtics +2.5 (LOSS)
- May 13 - Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder -10 (LOSS)
- May 8 - LA Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Under 9 (WIN)
- May 7 - New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics - New York Knicks +10.5 (WIN)
- May 1 - Denver Nuggets vs. LA Clippers - LA Clippers -6 (PUSH)
- April 29 - Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers - Milwaukee Bucks +8 (WIN)
- April 25 - LA Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5 (WIN)
- April 19 - Minnesota Timberwolves vs. LA Lakers - Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5 (WIN)
- April 6 - New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Pittsburgh Pirates +138 (WIN)
- April 5 - Houston Cougars vs. Duke Blue Devils - Houston Cougars +5 (WIN)
Recent Betting Value Analysis
Padres vs. Braves Friday May 23
The line on this one moved from Atlanta -132 all the way up to -177 with greater than 65% of the action on Atlanta. Oddsmakers were certainly dissuading gamblers from betting the Braves. In the end, San Diego won 2-1.
Guardians vs. Tigers Friday May 23
This one really stood out for the total. We saw the number go from 9 to 8.5 with lopsided action on the Over. This was an obvious attempt to get the public backing the Over. In the end, we had a final total of 3-1 for the Under.
Then there's the line itself. Detroit went from -145 to -105 with as much as 88% backing on the Tigers. Cleveland would go on to win this game.
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