MLB Betting Analysis - June 22, 2025

Gambling911.com looks at potential value in MLB betting lines and totals based on a number of factors for June 22, 2025. 

June 22 Games Outlook

Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics

We were seeing approximately 65% of the action on Cleveland as a -116 road favorite.  The number had been as high as -140.  The recreational books we follow were taking this number way down as well. 

PITCHING PROBABLES: Guardians: Slade Cecconi (2-3, 4.15 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 34 strikeouts); Athletics: JP Sears (5-6, 5.45 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 58 strikeouts)

Slade Cecconi allowed two runs with six strikeouts over five innings in a win against the Giants on Tuesday.

Sears allowed five runs with no strikeouts over 3 1/3 innings in a loss against the Astros on Tuesday.  Prior to that, he fanned nine while allowing two runs over 5 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Angels.

These Guardians have faced Sears 40 times with six RBIs. 

The Athletics are 9-7 in their last 16 games overall.  Cleveland, however, is 8-2 against them. 

We do see the Athletics winning here with a line of +105. 

June 21 Games Outlook

Mets vs. Phillies 

The total on this game opened at 9 and has quickly jumped to 10 with greater than 80% of folks still on the Over. 

PITCHING PROBABLES: Mets: Griffin Canning (6-3, 3.80 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 63 strikeouts); Phillies: Mick Abel (2-0, 2.21 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 17 strikeouts)

The line moved from -130 Phillies down to -107 but action is balanced. 

White Sox vs. Blue Jays 

The total dropped from 8.5 to 8 with greater than 65% of the action on the Over and recreational books we follow trending towards the 8. 

Half of the last ten in this series have resulted in 8 or fewer runs. 

PITCHING PROBABLES: White Sox: Aaron Civale (1-3, 4.67 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 23 strikeouts); Blue Jays: Jose Berrios (2-3, 3.81 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 76 strikeouts)

Civale pitched well in a losing effort in his White Sox debut on Sunday, giving up two runs on six hits over five innings of work.

Berrios allowed six runs in 4 2/3 innings and took the loss against the Phillies on Sunday. He shut out the Cardinals for 6 2/3 innings in a no-decision previous to that start. 

In 73 at bats against Berrios, these White Sox have 7 RBIs and three home runs, mainly distributed among three players, two of whom have current ERAs of under .100. 

We like the Under 8.5 here, still available at Bovada. 

These are some of the betting options available at one of the world's leading PPH baseball gambling platforms, AcePerHead.com.

MLB - GAME LINES
MLB - 1ST 5 FULL INNINGS
MLB - 3 INNINGS LINE
MLB - 7 INNINGS LINE
MLB - 1ST 5 INN WINNER (3-WAY)
MLB - 1ST INNING WINNER (3 WAY)
MLB - TEAM TOTALS
MLB - 1ST HALF TEAM TOTALS
MLB - ALTERNATE RUNLINES & TOTALS
MLB - GRAND SALAMI
MLB - TEAM WITH THE HIGHEST SCORING INNING
MLB - DOUBLE RESULT
MLB - WINNING MARGIN
MLB - HOME RUN MARKET
MLB - SCORE 1ST INNING
MLB - INNINGS PROPS
MLB - 1ST INNING EXACT HITS
MLB - PLAYER TO HIT A HOME RUN
MLB - TEAM TO SCORE 1ST
MLB - TEAM TO SCORE FIRST WINS THE GAME
MLB - TOTAL HITS
MLB - TOTAL RUNS ODD/EVEN
MLB - HITS +RUNS +ERRORS
MLB - PITCHER STRIKEOUTS
MLB - PITCHER TOTAL OUTS
MLB - TOTAL BASES
MLB - 2025 MLB WORLD SERIES WINNER
MLB - 2025 NATIONAL LEAGUE WINNER
MLB - 2025 AMERICAN LEAGUE WINNER

June 19 Games Outlook

Phillies vs. Marlins

The Phillies line has dropped from -183 to -138 but so too has the total, from 8 to 7.5.  What's significant about the latter is that the action is lopsided on the Over. 

PITCHING PROBABLES: Phillies: Cristopher Sanchez (5-2, 2.94 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 88 strikeouts); Marlins: Edward Cabrera (2-2, 4.10 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 58 strikeouts)

Sanchez allowed two runs with five strikeouts over seven innings in a no-decision against the Blue Jays on Saturday. He had a loss prior to that start, though Sanchez only permitted two runs on six hits in seven innings against the Pirates. 

In 72 at bats, the Phillies only have two home runs against Cabrera.  They have seven RBIs, four of those came courtesy of Kyle Schwarber, who is just .143 against him I(2 for 14 at bats).

Cabrera allowed three runs — one earned — over four innings in a loss to the Rays on Friday.

Only two of the last ten in this series has stayed Under 8 but we believe all else points to an Under 8 (still available at Bovada) here. 

June 18 Games Outlook

Phillies vs. Marlins

Do we dare go against the Phillies again? 

We haven't had much luck doing so. 

The moneyline dropped from -190 to -161 with heavy lopsided action on Philadelphia pretty much everywhere. Even at some of the recreational books we follow, the number had dropped to -170. 

The Marlins are 6-2 in their last eight games overall and just beat Philadelphia on Tuesday. 

Ranger Suárez only allowed four hits and one walk en route to shutting the Blue Jays out over seven innings with six strikeouts in an 8-0 win on Friday.  He's only allowed 8 hits on 35 at bats versus these Marlins. 

Marlins recalled RHP Adam Mazur from Triple-A Jacksonville.

We will be on the Marlins +146 this day. 

June 17 Games Outlook

Twins vs. Reds 

Cincinnati came in as the -115 favorite but this one dropped from -130.  Recreational books were still sitting on the -130.  If they moved also, we'd probably be all over the Twins here.

The Reds were seeing better than 75% of the action.

PITCHING PROBABLES: Twins: David Festa (1-1, 4.76 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 25 strikeouts); Reds: Andrew Abbott (6-1, 1.87 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 64 strikeouts)

June 16 Games Outlook

Phillies vs. Marlins

Lopsided action on the Phillies but the line has dropped from -125 to -110.

PITCHING PROBABLES: Phillies: Mick Abel (1-0, 2.35 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 14 strikeouts); Marlins: Sandy Alcantara (3-7, 7.14 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 50 strikeouts)

Abel surrendered three runs, all of them on solo homers, over four innings Tuesday against the Cubs.

Prior to that, Abel held the Blue Jays to one run over 5 1/3 innings in his second big-league start.

Marlins manager Clayton McCullough said Sandy Alcantara’s command has improved thanks to a focus on “being glove-side with his work and being intentional there.”

Alcantara shut out the Pirates for six innings, striking out six, in the Marlins’ 3-2 victory Tuesday.

He has faced these Phillies on 219 occasions, allowing just four home runs.  J.T.Realmuto had two of those.

Go with the Marlins here at +100

Gambling911.com Free Picks Record (15-8-1)

• June 23 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics - Athletics +105 ()
• June 22 - Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Under 215 ()
• June 21 - Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Under 8.5 (WIN)
• June 19 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - Under 8 (WIN)
• June 18 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - Miami Marlins +146 (LOSS)
• June 17 - No Picks Today
• June 16 - Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5(WIN)
• June 15 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays +143 (LOSS)
• June 15 - Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals - Under 7.5 (WIN)
• June 14 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays +140 (LOSS)
• June 13 - Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves - Under 8.5  (LOSS)
• June 12 - No Picks Today
• June 11 - No Picks Today
• June 10 - Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 8 (WIN)
• June 8 - LA Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals - St. Louis Cardinals +108 (LOSS)
• June 7 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Pittsburgh Pirates +124 (WIN)
• June 6 - Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox - Chicago White Sox +160 (WIN)
• June 4 - Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners - Baltimore Orioles Even (WIN)
• June 2 - Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins - Under 8 (LOSS)
• June 1 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays +144 (LOSS)
• May 30 - Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets - Under 8 (WIN)
• May 29 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros - Under 8 (LOSS)
• May 26 - Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 8 (WIN)
• May 25 - Miami Marlins vs. LA Angels - Miami Marlins +117 (WIN)
• May 24 - Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 9 (WIN)
• May 16 - Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks - Boston Celtics +2.5 (LOSS)
• May 13 - Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder -10 (LOSS)
• May 8 - LA Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Under 9 (WIN)
• May 7 - New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics - New York Knicks +10.5 (WIN)
• May 1 - Denver Nuggets vs. LA Clippers - LA Clippers -6 (PUSH)
• April 29 - Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers - Milwaukee Bucks +8 (WIN)
• April 25 - LA Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5 (WIN)
• April 19 - Minnesota Timberwolves vs. LA Lakers - Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5 (WIN)
• April 6 - New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Pittsburgh Pirates +138 (WIN)
• April 5 - Houston Cougars vs. Duke Blue Devils - Houston Cougars +5 (WIN)