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Gambling911.com looks at potential value in MLB betting lines and totals based on a number of factors for games played Monday August 25, 2025.
Monday August 25
Rays vs. Guardians
The total has dropped from 8.5 to 7.5.
Six of the last seven in this series have stayed Under 7.5.
Seven of the last Guardians games, Cleveland has scored 3 or fewer runs.
Mets vs. Phillies
Despite 77% or more on the Over, the total moved from 8 to 7.5.
There is heavy handicapping action on the Phillies.
PITCHING PROBABLES: Phillies: Cristopher Sanchez (11-4, 2.41 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 169 strikeouts); Mets: Kodai Senga (7-5, 2.58 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 99 strikeouts)
Also from The Action Network:
The Mets could struggle to solve Sanchez, as he flashes the strikeout stuff with a 95th percentile ranking in ground-ball rate. He's also maintained his strong walk rate from last year, issuing 2.18 BB/9 in both seasons. He's boosted his K/9 by over two strikeouts per nine, while keeping his walk rate the same.
The fact that Sanchez hasn't sacrificed his command to boost his strikeouts speaks to how dominant of a hurler he is.
Meanwhile, the Phillies' bats have dominated in August, posting a 122 wRC+ — the fourth best in MLB. They are crushing the ball out of the park, ranking fourth with 34 homers and second with a .207 ISO. Neither is above the figure the Mets have this month, but it's nothing to sneeze at.
The Phillies line has shot up from -105 to -130.
Philadlephia has won seven of its last ten games overall while New York has won half of theirs.
In 111 at bats, the Mets batters have five home runs against him.
Philadelphia Phillies career statistics vs. Kodai Senga are just .122 against Mets hitters in 40 at bats.
Braves vs. Marlins
This one dropped from 8 to 7.5 despite moderate action on the Over.
Top cappers are all over the Marlins with the line moving from +125 to +104 with much of the action on Miami.
Reds vs. Dodgers
PITCHING PROBABLES: Reds: Hunter Greene (5-3, 2.63 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 91 strikeouts); Dodgers: Emmet Sheehan (4-2, 4.17 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 44 strikeouts)
The line on this game has dropped from Dodgers -145 to -133.
From ESPN:
"Dodger Stadium will be a welcome site for Emmet Sheehan after struggling in a couple of road affairs, including last time out at Coors Field. The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Cincinnati Reds in the opener of a series with playoff implications for both clubs. The Reds sport an average offense facing right-handers and will incur a park downgrade from hitter friendly Great American Ballpark."
Six of eight of the last games in this series have stayed Under the total of 8.
Saturday August 23
Athletics vs. Mariners
Top cappers were all over Seattle with the line set at -165.
The Action Network warns that "The Mariners have looked hopeless against (Jeffrey) Springs in the last couple of years, and now that the lefty is moving away from his homerrific park in Sacramento, I'd expect him to keep racking up outs on fly balls as he continues to repair his strikeout numbers."
Astros vs. Orioles
From The Action Network:
The “Steam Unders with Low OU Support” MLB betting system identifies profitable opportunities where sharp money pushes totals lower while the public continues to back the over.
This combination of sharp steam, limited public support, and realistic scoring ranges highlights inflated totals where the under offers hidden value. With a large sample size and consistent performance, this system has produced a 12% ROI this season and a 14 % ROI since 2019, proving that low-confidence unders with sharp backing can uncover overlooked betting edges in Major League Baseball.
The total here is set at 9 with little movement off that number and the public is heavy on the Over.
Be forewarned that five of the last six in this series have indeed gone Over the current total or otherwise landed on the 9.
Baltimore Orioles career statistics vs. Cristian Javier are just .189 in 32 at bats.
Javier allowed two runs and three hits over five innings to beat the Red Sox in his return from Tommy John prior to his last start, where he had to be removed due to illness
Houston Astros career statistics vs. Dean Kremer have had two home runs and four RBIs in 83 at bats (.265).
Kremer tossed seven scoreless innings and got the win in the Orioles’ 12-0 victory over the Astros on Sunday. He allowed only a run in his eight innings, but he took a loss to the Mariners in his prior start.
Reds vs. Diamondbacks
The Reds have gone from a -132 favorite to -115 despite greater than 65% of the action on Cincinnati.
Arizona has won 60% of their more recent games and has a slight edge in this series.
Top handicappers are on the Under 9 overwhelmingly with the public liking the Over at a 65% clip.
Arizona Diamondbacks career statistics vs. Andrew Abbott are just 2-for-20 at bats.
Abbott tossed seven scoreless innings and got a no-decision in the Reds’ 3-2 victory over the Brewers on Sunday. He had a loss prior to this so we anticipate Abbott bringing his A-Game into this one.
Cincinnati Reds career statistics vs. Jalen Beeks have 9 RBIs in 33 at bats (.333).
Gambling911.com Free Picks Record (42-33-2)
August 25 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians - Under 7.5 ()
August 24 - No Picks
August 23 - Iowa State vs. Kansas State - Kansas State -3 (LOSS)
August 21 - Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees - Yankees -142 (LOSS)
August 20 - Seattle Mariners vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Over 8.5 (WIN)
August 19 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 7.5 (LOSS)
August 17 - No Picks
August 16 - Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Blue Jays -165 (WIN)
August 16 - Miami Marlins vs. Boston Red Sox - Under 9.5 (LOSS)
August 15 - - No Picks
August 14 - Chicago Cubs vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Blue Jays -103 (WIN)
August 13 - No Picks
August 12 - No Picks
August 11 - San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants - Under 7 (WIN)
August 10 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox - Guardians -122 (LOSS)
August 10 - New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Under 8 (LOSS)
August 9 - Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins - Under 8.5 (WIN)
August 8 - Phillies vs. Rangers - Under 7 (LOSS)
August 8 - Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Reds -118 (LOSS)
August 7 - No Picks
August 6 - No Picks
August 5 - St. Louis Cardinals vs. LA Dodgers - Over 9 (WIN)
August 5 - Athletics vs. Washington Nationals - Athletics +112 (WIN)
August 5 - Athletics vs. Washington Nationals - Over 8.5 (WIN)
August 4 - San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks -125 (LOSS)
August 3 - New York Yankees vs. Miami Marlins - Marlins +103 (WIN)
August 2 - LA Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Rays +104 (WIN)
August 1 - Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox - Over 8 (LOSS)
July 30 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - Over 9.5 (WIN)
July 30 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - Blue Jays +103 (WIN)
July 29 - No Picks
July 28 - Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Under 8 (LOSS)
July 28 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Over 9.5 (WIN)
July 27 - No Picks Today
July 26 - No Picks Today
July 25 - LA Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox - Red Sox -102 (LOSS)
July 24 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers - Tigers -130 (LOSS)
July 23 - Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Red Sox +146 (WIN)
July 22 - No Picks Today
July 21 - San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - Giants +118 (LOSS)
July 20 - Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers - Under 7 (WIN)
July 19 - New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves - Braves +112 (LOSS)
July 18 - No Picks Today
July 13 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Red Sox -115 (WIN)
July 12 - No Picks Today
July 11 - Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros - Rangers +108 (WIN)
July 10 - No Picks Today
July 9 - Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds - Reds -136 (WIN)
July 8 - No Picks Today
July 7 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros - Guardians +118 (WIN)
July 6 - St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 7.5 (LOSS)
July 5 - Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants - Under 9 (PUSH)
July 4 - St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 9.5 (LOSS)
July 3 - No Picks Today
July 2 - No Picks Today
July 1 - Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers - Under 7.5(LOSS)
June 29 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves - Braves -157 (LOSS)
June 28 - Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - Marlins +136 (WIN)
June 27 - Athletics vs. New York Yankees - Under 8.5 (WIN)
June 26 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians - Guardians -130 (LOSS)
June 26 - Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins - Under 8.5 (LOSS)
June 24 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals - Under 8.5 (WIN)
June 22 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics - Athletics +105 (LOSS)
June 22 - Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Under 215 (WIN)
June 21 - Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Under 8.5 (WIN)
June 19 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - Under 8 (WIN)
June 18 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - Miami Marlins +146 (LOSS)
June 17 - No Picks Today
June 16 - Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5(WIN)
June 15 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays +143 (LOSS)
June 15 - Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals - Under 7.5 (WIN)
June 14 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays +140 (LOSS)
June 13 - Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves - Under 8.5 (LOSS)
June 12 - No Picks Today
June 11 - No Picks Today
June 10 - Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 8 (WIN)
June 8 - LA Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals - St. Louis Cardinals +108 (LOSS)
June 7 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Pittsburgh Pirates +124 (WIN)
June 6 - Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox - Chicago White Sox +160 (WIN)
June 4 - Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners - Baltimore Orioles Even (WIN)
June 2 - Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins - Under 8 (LOSS)
June 1 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays +144 (LOSS)
May 30 - Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets - Under 8 (WIN)
May 29 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros - Under 8 (LOSS)
May 26 - Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 8 (WIN)
May 25 - Miami Marlins vs. LA Angels - Miami Marlins +117 (WIN)
May 24 - Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 9 (WIN)
May 16 - Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks - Boston Celtics +2.5 (LOSS)
May 13 - Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder -10 (LOSS)
May 8 - LA Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Under 9 (WIN)
May 7 - New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics - New York Knicks +10.5 (WIN)
May 1 - Denver Nuggets vs. LA Clippers - LA Clippers -6 (PUSH)
April 29 - Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers - Milwaukee Bucks +8 (WIN)
April 25 - LA Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5 (WIN)
April 19 - Minnesota Timberwolves vs. LA Lakers - Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5 (WIN)
April 6 - New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Pittsburgh Pirates +138 (WIN)
April 5 - Houston Cougars vs. Duke Blue Devils - Houston Cougars +5 (WIN)
