MLB Betting Analysis - August 15 2025
Gambling911.com looks at potential value in MLB betting lines and totals based on a number of factors for games played Friday August 15, 2025.
Friday August 15
Marlins vs. Red Sox
The total on this game has moved from 9 to 8.5 with heavy action on the Over.
This one has been an Over series of late with the Red Sox winning the last three.
White Sox vs. Royals
This one stands out in that the Royals were seeing greater than 80% of the moneyline action yet the line was falling from -183 to -168.
The Royals have won eight of the last ten games in this series while the White Sox only have two wins in their last ten games overall. Kansas City has won five of their last ten.
Mariners vs. Mets
Exercise caution here. We won't be backing the Mets but ESPN has an interesting concern about the Mariners.
"Splits facing left-handed pitching are precarious, especially in a sample of just over a week. For the season, the Seattle Mariners sport an average lineup facing left-handers, but since the trade deadline, they have one of the worst offenses against southpaws, even after acquiring Eugenio Suarez and Josh Naylor. This is one of the reasons that Sean Manaea lands so high on Friday's starting pitcher rankings. The New York Mets lefty stumbled in his past two starts, but since debuting in mid-July, Manaea recorded 30 strikeouts with only six walks over 27 frames. His 3.37 xFIP indicates that there is some small sample noise in his 4.33 ERA."
Thursday August 14
Cubs @ Blue Jays
Max Scherzer posted four quality starts over his last five outings, including the last three. One was against the Los Angeles Dodgers and another facing the Detroit Tigers, so a matchup with the Chicago Cubs is less daunting than it might be for a less experienced pitcher. The Toronto Blue Jays host the Cubs for a 3:07 p.m. ET matinee. Over the past month, the Cubs recorded the seventh lowest wOBA versus right-handers. (source: ESPN)
Early action was around 60% on the Blue Jays moneyline, so nothing really significant in terms of lopsided wagering here.
Top cappers all over the Blue Jays.
Toronto Blue Jays career statistics vs. Matthew Boyd are 6-for-16 with three RBIs and a homer. A limited sampling but that's a very high .375.
Chicago Cubs career statistics vs. Max Scherzer are just 23-for-106 with 21 RBIs (.217).
Cubs are a -108 favorite here.
Toronto has won 6 of their last 10 games overall while Chicago has won just four.
We will be on the Blue Jays here -103
Marlins @ Guardians
Very lopsided action on the total Thursday morning with 90% or greater on the Over 7.5. This could even out as the day progresses but definitely watch if the books do not move to 8 in order to encourage more action on the Under.
Tuesday's game witnessed 17 runs being scored with Miami securing the win.
Edward Cabrera allowed one run in eight innings and got the win in the Marlins’ 5-1 victory over the Braves on Friday and he allowed just one run in his previous start. Regression is possible here.
The Guardians do sport the fifth lowest wOBA facing righties, so an Under is indeed possible, especially with this series staying Under 8 in five of the last eight meetings dating back to 2023.
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MLB - GAME LINES
MLB - 1ST 5 FULL INNINGS
MLB - 3 INNINGS LINE
MLB - 7 INNINGS LINE
MLB - 1ST 5 INN WINNER (3-WAY)
MLB - 1ST INNING WINNER (3 WAY)
MLB - TEAM TOTALS
MLB - ALTERNATE RUNLINES & TOTALS
MLB - TEAM WITH THE HIGHEST SCORING INNING
MLB - DOUBLE RESULT
MLB - WINNING MARGIN
MLB - HOME RUN MARKET
MLB - SCORE 1ST INNING
MLB - 1ST INNING EXACT HITS
MLB - TEAM TO SCORE 1ST
MLB - TEAM TO SCORE FIRST WINS THE GAME
MLB - TOTAL HITS
MLB - TOTAL RUNS ODD/EVEN
MLB - SERIES PRICES
MLB - HITS +RUNS +ERRORS
MLB - 2025 MLB WORLD SERIES WINNER
MLB - 2025 NATIONAL LEAGUE WINNER
MLB - 2025 AMERICAN LEAGUE WINNER
August 13, 2025
Marlins @ Guardians
The total and moneyline remained steady Wednesday morning at 7.5 and -128 (CLE), respectively.
"Before his last outing, Eury Perez was one of the most effective pitchers in the league, sporting a 1.06 ERA and 0.68 WHIP with 37 strikeouts to just eight walks over the prior 34 innings. Last time out, the Atlanta Braves took Perez deep three times. The 22-year-old right-hander is in a great spot to rebound with the Miami Marlins visiting the Cleveland Guardians. The home team doesn't fan much, but they're a below average offense with below average power." (source: ESPN)
Cleveland has won four of the last five in this series dating back to 2023, however. They've also been winning 80 percent of their games of late.
Miami has cooled down a bit after climbing towards - and flirting with - the .500 mark, having started the season off in a deep hole. They've lost their last four games.
Phillies @ Reds
"The Cincinnati Reds are in the thick of the playoff race even though they've been without their ace for over two months. That changes on Wednesday with Hunter Greene ticketed to return from the IL in a late afternoon home affair with the Philadelphia Phillies. Against a lesser opponent, using Greene out of the gate is defensible, but the Phillies possess one of the most potent lineups in the league, and have been on a power surge over the last month. Greene punched out 24 in just 13 frames while rehabbing, but despite logging 5 1/3 innings (79 pitches) in his final rehab effort, Greene is too risky." (source: ESPN)
August 12, 2025
Red Sox vs. Astros
The number here dropped from 9 to 8.5.
The Astros hold a wRC+ of 102 over the last 30 days and rank 14th in weighted on-base average. They've been tough on righties of late, as since July 1, they rank 10th in baseball with a wRC+ of 110 (source: The Action Network)
Houston Astros career statistics vs. Dustin May do have one home run and four RBIs with just 28 at bats.
Boston Red Sox career statistics vs. Spencer Arrighetti have just two hits in a limited sampling of 12 at bats.
Rays vs. Athletics
Jacob Lopez is coming off his best start of the season, limiting the Washington Nationals to three hits in 7 2/3 scoreless frames. However, he threw 114 pitches and will be working on just four days of rest, so the Athletics might cut his outing short. Even so, the lefty is in a favorable spot facing a Tampa Bay Rays club that sports the eighth-lowest wOBA and ninth-highest strikeout rate versus left-handers. (source: ESPN)
Heavy action here on the Over.
Top cappers are all over the A's at -108 while the public is slightly backing Tampa more.
Gambling911.com Free Picks Record (40-29-2)
August 15 - - No Picks
August 14 - Chicago Cubs vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Blue Jays -103 (WIN)
August 13 - No Picks
August 12 - No Picks
August 11 - San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants - Under 7 (WIN)
August 10 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox - Guardians -122 (LOSS)
August 10 - New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Under 8 (LOSS)
August 9 - Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins - Under 8.5 (WIN)
August 8 - Phillies vs. Rangers - Under 7 (LOSS)
August 8 - Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Reds -118 (LOSS)
August 7 - No Picks
August 6 - No Picks
August 5 - St. Louis Cardinals vs. LA Dodgers - Over 9 (WIN)
August 5 - Athletics vs. Washington Nationals - Athletics +112 (WIN)
August 5 - Athletics vs. Washington Nationals - Over 8.5 (WIN)
August 4 - San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks -125 (LOSS)
August 3 - New York Yankees vs. Miami Marlins - Marlins +103 (WIN)
August 2 - LA Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Rays +104 (WIN)
August 1 - Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox - Over 8 (LOSS)
July 30 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - Over 9.5 (WIN)
July 30 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - Blue Jays +103 (WIN)
July 29 - No Picks
July 28 - Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Under 8 (LOSS)
July 28 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Over 9.5 (WIN)
July 27 - No Picks Today
July 26 - No Picks Today
July 25 - LA Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox - Red Sox -102 (LOSS)
July 24 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers - Tigers -130 (LOSS)
July 23 - Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Red Sox +146 (WIN)
July 22 - No Picks Today
July 21 - San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - Giants +118 (LOSS)
July 20 - Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers - Under 7 (WIN)
July 19 - New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves - Braves +112 (LOSS)
July 18 - No Picks Today
July 13 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Red Sox -115 (WIN)
July 12 - No Picks Today
July 11 - Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros - Rangers +108 (WIN)
July 10 - No Picks Today
July 9 - Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds - Reds -136 (WIN)
July 8 - No Picks Today
July 7 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros - Guardians +118 (WIN)
July 6 - St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 7.5 (LOSS)
July 5 - Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants - Under 9 (PUSH)
July 4 - St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 9.5 (LOSS)
July 3 - No Picks Today
July 2 - No Picks Today
July 1 - Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers - Under 7.5(LOSS)
June 29 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves - Braves -157 (LOSS)
June 28 - Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - Marlins +136 (WIN)
June 27 - Athletics vs. New York Yankees - Under 8.5 (WIN)
June 26 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians - Guardians -130 (LOSS)
June 26 - Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins - Under 8.5 (LOSS)
June 24 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals - Under 8.5 (WIN)
June 22 - Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics - Athletics +105 (LOSS)
June 22 - Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Under 215 (WIN)
June 21 - Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Under 8.5 (WIN)
June 19 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - Under 8 (WIN)
June 18 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - Miami Marlins +146 (LOSS)
June 17 - No Picks Today
June 16 - Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5(WIN)
June 15 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays +143 (LOSS)
June 15 - Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals - Under 7.5 (WIN)
June 14 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays +140 (LOSS)
June 13 - Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves - Under 8.5 (LOSS)
June 12 - No Picks Today
June 11 - No Picks Today
June 10 - Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 8 (WIN)
June 8 - LA Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals - St. Louis Cardinals +108 (LOSS)
June 7 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Pittsburgh Pirates +124 (WIN)
June 6 - Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox - Chicago White Sox +160 (WIN)
June 4 - Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners - Baltimore Orioles Even (WIN)
June 2 - Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins - Under 8 (LOSS)
June 1 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays +144 (LOSS)
May 30 - Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets - Under 8 (WIN)
May 29 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros - Under 8 (LOSS)
May 26 - Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs - Under 8 (WIN)
May 25 - Miami Marlins vs. LA Angels - Miami Marlins +117 (WIN)
May 24 - Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Under 9 (WIN)
May 16 - Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks - Boston Celtics +2.5 (LOSS)
May 13 - Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder -10 (LOSS)
May 8 - LA Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Under 9 (WIN)
May 7 - New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics - New York Knicks +10.5 (WIN)
May 1 - Denver Nuggets vs. LA Clippers - LA Clippers -6 (PUSH)
April 29 - Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers - Milwaukee Bucks +8 (WIN)
April 25 - LA Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5 (WIN)
April 19 - Minnesota Timberwolves vs. LA Lakers - Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5 (WIN)
April 6 - New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Pittsburgh Pirates +138 (WIN)
April 5 - Houston Cougars vs. Duke Blue Devils - Houston Cougars +5 (WIN)
