What Are the Payout Odds if Catching Freedom Wins This Year's Kentucky Derby?

Written by:
Ean Lamb
Published on:
May/01/2024

Catching Freedom would pay out $900 for every $100 bet to win this year's Kentucky Derby, the third shortest odds.

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Catching Freedom was sired by Constitution out of the Pioneerof the Nile mare Catch My Drift.

Key Factors That Could Lead to Catching Freedom Winning This Year's Kentucky Derby

Trainer (8)

Brad Cox enjoyed a Kentucky Derby win in 2021 with Mandaloun after Medina Spirit was disqualified. He is the No. 2 trainer in North America in winnings in 2024 ($7,953,294), just behind Steve Asmussen at $8.61 million. Cox has 70 victories, and a 62% win-place-show rate, in 255 starts in the last year.

Past Performances (8)

Catching Freedom did have a strong finish at the Risen Star (3nd).  Before and after that race he had wins at the Smarty Jones and Louisiana Derby.

Louisiana Derby Winner (5)

Two winners of the Louisiana Derby have gone on to win the Kentucky Derby: Black Gold in 1924, and Grindstone in 1996. The 1988 winner, Risen Star, went on to become a "Dual Classic Winner" by winning the Preakness and Belmont Stakes.

Jockey (8)

Flavien Prat had to wait 22 minutes after the 2019 Derby before he and Country House were promoted to a 65-1 victory after stewards disqualified Maximum Security.  He's hit the board with five of his last six Derby rides.

More Reason to Bet on Catching Freedom (6)

Catching Freedom will give the Albaugh stable back-to-back years with top contenders in America's most famous race.

That's quite an accomplishment in and of itself considering the stable typically numbers about 25 2-year-olds from sales and a dozen or so mares.

"They do a good job of selecting yearlings," Cox said. "They have a great team in place."

Why Catching Freedom Might Not Win This Year's Kentucky Derby

Post Position (4)

Super Saver’s 2010 Derby victory was the last for the post.

Odds to Win the 2024 Kentucky Derby

After Post Position Draw

1     Fierceness         +275
3     Track Phantom         +2000
4     Dornoch         +1500
5     Sierra Leone         +325
6     Hades         +4000
7     Mystik Dan         +2000
11     Epic Ride         +5000
13     Catching Freedom         +1000
15     Honor Marie         +2000
17     Domestic Product         +2200
19     Just Steel         +2500
20     Resilience         +2000
29     Stronghold         +2000
30     Just A Touch         +1700
34     Forever Young         +800
38     Encino         +2800
43     Endlessly         +2500
49     Common Defense         +6600
50     West Saratoga         +6600
51     T O Password         +7500
52     Catalytic         +6000
53     Society Man         +6600
54     Grand Mo The First         +7500

Early

1     Fierceness         +275
3     Track Phantom         +2000
4     Dornoch         +2000
5     Sierra Leone         +325
6     Hades         +4000
7     Mystik Dan         +2000
11     Epic Ride         +5000
13     Catching Freedom         +1000
15     Honor Marie         +2000
17     Domestic Product         +2200
19     Just Steel         +2500
20     Resilience         +2000
29     Stronghold         +2000
30     Just A Touch         +1700
34     Forever Young         +800
38     Encino         +2800
43     Endlessly         +2500
49     Common Defense         +6600
50     West Saratoga         +6600
51     T O Password         +7500
52     Catalytic         +6000
53     Society Man         +6600
54     Grand Mo The First         +7500

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Horse Racing News

2024 Preakness Morning Odds

Mystik Dan was still coming in as the 5-2 favorite with Catching Freedom and Imagination each at 6-1 odds.

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