What Are the Payout Odds if Admire Daytona Wins This Year's Kentucky Derby?

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
Apr/30/2025

Admire Daytona will offer a payout of $3900 for every $100 bet to win the 2025 Kentucky Derby.

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Rodriguez is a 3 year old colt and has raced from 2024 to 2025. He was sired by Authentic out of the Cherokee Run mare Cayala.

Key Factors That Could Lead to Admire Daytona Winning This Year's Kentucky Derby

Post Position (9)

The No. 5 post position has produced 10 winners, the most of any gate since the starting gate was introduced in 1930. The most recent horse to win from this position was Always Dreaming in 2017.

Admire Daytona moves up courtesy of Thursday's Rodriguez scratch.

Trainer (6)

Japan's Yukihiro Kato has had some success over the last year, but all of it was abroad. 

Flora Stakes (April 21, 2024)
Kato trained Admire Belle to victory in the Grade 2 Flora Stakes at Tokyo Racecourse.

New Zealand Trophy (April 6, 2024)
Ecoro Bloom, under Kato's guidance, won the Grade 2 New Zealand Trophy.

Shoryu Stakes (March 10, 2024)
Kato's trainee Nasty Weather secured a win in the Shoryu Stakes.

Violet Stakes (March 31, 2024)
Continuing a strong season, Nasty Weather also triumphed in the Violet Stakes under Kato's training.

Seiryu Stakes (May 4, 2024)
Rata Forest, trained by Kato, won the Seiryu Stakes.

Why Admire Daytona Might Not Win This Year's Kentucky Derby

Japan (3)

The best finish a horse from Japan has had in the Kentucky Derby is 6th place, achieved by Derma Sotogake in 2023.

UAE Derby Winner (3)

He won the UAE Derby with a distance of 1 3/16 miles.  But no UAE Derby winner has ever won the Kentucky Derby.

The best finish in the Kentucky Derby by a UAE Derby winner is sixth place, achieved by Master of Hounds in 2011.

Jockey (4)

Christophe Lemaire has not won a Kentucky Derby. The 45-year-old French jockey has participated in the race only twice before, finishing 13th aboard Crown Pride in 2022 and achieving his best result with a sixth-place finish on Derma Sotogake in 2023.

Updated 2025 Kentucky Derby Odds and Post Positions

  •     Gate 1: Citizen Bull (17-1)
  •     Gate 2: Neoequos (57-1)
  •     Gate 3: Final Gambit (17-1)
  •     Gate 4: American Promise (13-1)
  •     Gate 5: Admire Daytona (39-1)
  •     Gate 6: Luxor Cafe (15-1)
  •     Gate 7: Journalism (7-2)
  •     Gate 8: Burnham Square (19-1)
  •     Gate 9: Grande (19-1)
  •     Gate 10: Flying Mohawk (36-1)
  •     Gate 11: East Avenue (33-1)
  •     Gate 12: Publisher (30-1)
  •     Gate 13: Tiztastic (20-1)
  •     Gate 14: Render Judgment (13-1)
  •     Gate 15: Coal Battle (30-1)
  •     Gate 16: Sandman (5-1)
  •     Gate 17: Sovereignty (11-1)
  •     Gate 18: Chunk of Gold (33-1)
  •     Gate 19: Owen Almighty (44-1)
  •     Gate 20: Baeza (50-1)

Early Odds to Win the 2025 Kentucky Derby

*Listed in order of post position

 Kentucky Derby 2025  Trainer  Jockey Odds*
  1. Citizen Bull Bob Baffert Martin Garcia 20-1
  2. Neoequos Saffie Joseph Jr. Flavien Prat** 30-1
  3. Final Gambit Brad Cox Luan Machado 30-1
  4. Rodríguez Bob Baffert Mike Smith 12-1
  5. American Promise D. Wayne Lukas Nik Juárez 30-1
  6. Admire Daytona Yukihiro Kato Christophe Lemaire 30-1
  7. Luxor Café Noriyuki Hori João Moreira 15-1
  8. Journalism Michael McCarthy Umberto Rispoli 3-1
  9. Burnham Square Ian Wilkes Brian Hernandez Jr. 12-1
10. Grande Todd Pletcher John Velázquez 20-1
11. Flying Mohawk Whit Beckman Joe Ramos 30-1
12. East Avenue Brendan Walsh Manny Franco 20-1
13. Publisher Steve Asmussen Irad Ortiz Jr. 20-1
14. Tiztastic Steve Asmussen Joel Rosario 20-1
15. Render Judgment Kenny McPeek Julien Leparoux 30-1
16. Coal Battle Lonnie Briley Juan Vargas 30-1
17. Sandman Mark Casse Jose Ortiz 6-1
18. Sovereignty Bill Mott Júnior Alvarado 5-1
19. Chunk of Gold Ethan West Jareth Loveberry 30-1
20. Owen Almighty Brian Lynch Javier Castellano 30-1
21. Baeza - ae John Shirreffs Flavien Prat 12-1

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