What Are the Payout Odds if Render Judgment Wins This Year's Kentucky Derby?

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Render Judgment will offer a payout of $1300 for every $100 bet to win the 2025 Kentucky Derby.  

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Render Judgment is a 3 year old colt and has raced from 2024 to 2025. He was sired by Blame out of the Commissioner mare Barbara Gordon.

Key Factors That Could Lead to Render Judgment Winning This Year's Kentucky Derby

Trainer (7)

Kenny McPeek secured his first Kentucky Derby victory in 2024 with Mystik Dan.

McPeek has achieved a 16% win rate across 242 starts this year, totaling $4.2 million in earnings. This performance places him among the top trainers in North America by earnings for the current year.

More Reasons to Like Render Judgment (6)

He comes into this weekend's Kentucky Derby as the top liability at BetOnline.

Render Judgment's only win was at Churchill Downs.

Why Render Judgment Might Not Win This Year's Kentucky Derby

Past Performance (3)

His only win was at Churchill Downs.  His last start was a 5th place finish at the Blue Grass Stakes. He finished 8th in the Risen Star.

Render Judgment qualified for the 2025 Kentucky Derby by accumulating 39 points on the Road to the Kentucky Derby leaderboard.  He was the first also-eligible horse to draw into the field, following the scratch of the favored contender Rodriguez .

2025 Kentucky Derby Updated Post Positions and Odds

  •     Gate 1: Citizen Bull (17-1)
  •     Gate 2: Neoequos (57-1)
  •     Gate 3: Final Gambit (17-1)
  •     Gate 4: American Promise (13-1)
  •     Gate 5: Admire Daytona (39-1)
  •     Gate 6: Luxor Cafe (15-1)
  •     Gate 7: Journalism (7-2)
  •     Gate 8: Burnham Square (19-1)
  •     Gate 9: Grande (19-1)
  •     Gate 10: Flying Mohawk (36-1)
  •     Gate 11: East Avenue (33-1)
  •     Gate 12: Publisher (30-1)
  •     Gate 13: Tiztastic (20-1)
  •     Gate 14: Render Judgment (13-1)
  •     Gate 15: Coal Battle (30-1)
  •     Gate 16: Sandman (5-1)
  •     Gate 17: Sovereignty (11-1)
  •     Gate 18: Chunk of Gold (33-1)
  •     Gate 19: Owen Almighty (44-1)
  •     Gate 20: Baeza (50-1)

Early Odds to Win the 2025 Kentucky Derby

*Listed in order of post position

 Kentucky Derby 2025  Trainer  Jockey Odds*
  1. Citizen Bull Bob Baffert Martin Garcia 20-1
  2. Neoequos Saffie Joseph Jr. Flavien Prat** 30-1
  3. Final Gambit Brad Cox Luan Machado 30-1
  4. Rodríguez Bob Baffert Mike Smith 12-1
  5. American Promise D. Wayne Lukas Nik Juárez 30-1
  6. Admire Daytona Yukihiro Kato Christophe Lemaire 30-1
  7. Luxor Café Noriyuki Hori João Moreira 15-1
  8. Journalism Michael McCarthy Umberto Rispoli 3-1
  9. Burnham Square Ian Wilkes Brian Hernandez Jr. 12-1
10. Grande Todd Pletcher John Velázquez 20-1
11. Flying Mohawk Whit Beckman Joe Ramos 30-1
12. East Avenue Brendan Walsh Manny Franco 20-1
13. Publisher Steve Asmussen Irad Ortiz Jr. 20-1
14. Tiztastic Steve Asmussen Joel Rosario 20-1
15. Render Judgment Kenny McPeek Julien Leparoux 30-1
16. Coal Battle Lonnie Briley Juan Vargas 30-1
17. Sandman Mark Casse Jose Ortiz 6-1
18. Sovereignty Bill Mott Júnior Alvarado 5-1
19. Chunk of Gold Ethan West Jareth Loveberry 30-1
20. Owen Almighty Brian Lynch Javier Castellano 30-1
21. Baeza - ae John Shirreffs Flavien Prat 12-1

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