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2017 Kentucky Derby Predictions: Hence is Not to be Overlooked

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
May/05/2017

  • 16-1 odds make for a good middle of the pack value pick
  • Bris speed figure is the highest in this bunch
  • Starts from one of the best post positions

Hence had odds of winning the 2017 Kentucky Derby set at 16-1 though he does not seem to fit into any experts top three predictions.

Experts from the Lexington Herald Leader believe Hence has a very solid chance of turning in a solid  performance at this year’s Kentucky Derby:

Need to know: He was impressive in winning the Sunland Derby over a group of horses who went on to run big races their next time out (including Irap, who was fourth at Sunland before winning the Blue Grass Stakes). His last-race Bris speed figure is the highest in this bunch. He also broke his maiden with a wild stretch run over a sloppy track.

A good bet? He seems to be improving from race to race, he has a versatile running style and — on paper — he’s as fast as anything here. At anything close to 15-1, he’s a great value.

He did have one bad race.  That would be the Southwest Stakes where he finished 7th and followed up with a win at the Sunland. 

Let’s not forget his number 8 post position has witnessed eight wins in Derby history, making it among the more ideal spots in which to start.

Trainer Steve Asmussen: "The eight for Hence is one of the preferred spots statistically. I think, looking at the stats the last 20 years, the eight, 13 and 16 posts have produced the most in-the-money finishes.”

SCROLL DOWN FOR ODDS

KENTUCKY DERBY FUTURES - May 06 

Odds to win Kentucky Derby 2017

88101

Looking at Lee

+1619

88102

Thunder Snow

+2560

88103

Fast and Accurate

+6050

88104

Untrapped

+3064

88105

Always Dreaming

+550

88106

State of Honor

+6050

88107

Girvin

+2042

88108

Hence

+1615

88109

Irap

+3269

88110

Gunnevera

+825

88111

Battle of Midway

+3020

88112

Soneteer

+3269

88113

J Boys Echo

+2056

88114

Classic Empire

+565

88115

McCracken

+705

88116

Tapwrit

+1571

88117

Irish War Cry

+785

88118

Gormley

+2560

88119

Practical Joke

+1973

88120

Patch

+3572

Kentucky Derby 2017 - To Finish Last

88021

Lookin at Lee

+3550

88022

Thunder Snow

+1615

88023

Fast and Accurate

+525

88024

Untrapped

+1415

88025

Always Dreaming

+2550

88026

State of Honor

+725

88027

Girvin

+1615

88028

Hence

+2550

88029

Irap

+705

88030

Gunnevera

+3050

88031

Battle of Midway

+1215

88032

Sonneteer

+1815

88033

J Boys Echo

+1615

88034

Classic Empire

+2550

88035

McCracken

+2550

88036

Tapwrit

+1615

88037

Irish War Cry

+2550

88038

Gormley

+1015

88039

Practical Joke

+1215

88040

Patch

+1015

Kentucky Derby 2017 - Top 3 Finish

88041

Looking at Lee

+543

88042

Thunder Snow

+736

88043

Fast and Accurate

+1529

88044

Untrapped

+887

88045

Always Dreaming

+167

88046

State of Honor

+1529

88047

Girvin

+480

88048

Hence

+437

88049

Irap

+887

88050

Gunnevera

+292

88051

Battle of Midway

+647

88052

Sonneteer

+757

88053

J Boys Echo

+428

88054

Classic Empire

+130

88055

McCracken

+210

88056

Tapwrit

+587

88057

Irish War Cry

+231

88058

Gormley

+736

88059

Practical Joke

+432

88060

Patch

+1077

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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