NFL Betting Line Analysis: Home Team -10

Written by:
Mary Montgomery
Published on:

Gambling911.com looks at games that featured the home team a a primary -3 home favorite.  We look at the line moves around this number and the final results.

Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs (January 17, 2021)

The recreational sportsbook, Bovada, has also been holding firm at -10.  Another recreational book, Sportsbook.ag, had the number at -9.5 Sunday morning.

Heritage Sports has mostly been moving the line between -9.5 and -9.


01/11 11:44 am+9½ -108-9½ -108

Line Movement:  CLE vs. KC

01/17 8:02 am+9½ -108-9½ -108

01/17 8:00 am+9 -108-9 -108

01/14 9:07 pm+10 -118-10 +102

01/14 7:13 am+10 -113-10 -103

01/12 12:08 pm+9½ -108-9½ -108

01/12 7:24 am+10 -108-10 -108

01/11 11:44 am+9½ -108-9½ -108

Bookmaker.eu has mostly held firm at -10 but actually moved in the opposite direction with a few -10.5 hits during the early part of the week.

Moneyline action was heavy KC at an 85% clip while the spread action was more balanced.

Books were pushing action on the Chiefs in the hours leading up to this game as the number did come down as low as 8.

Spread Range: 10.5 / 10 / 9.5 / 9 (Closed at 8.5/8)

Line Closing Trend: Line move down two points

Result: Cleveland covers the spread with a 22-17 loss.  Note that Patrick Mahomes came out of this game with a concussion suffered in the third quarter.

- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com

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