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Wisconsin vs. Michigan Spread Set At -4: Trends Heavily Favor Badgers

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Nov/19/2010
Wisconsin vs. Michigan Spread

The Wisconsin vs. Michigan spread was listed at Badgers -4 after opening with odds of 5.5 at some spots.  Spread action was at 95 percent in favor of Wisconsin, probably a result of past trends that strongly go against Michigan.  The Badgers money line was getting just shy of 95 percent of the betting action.  Needless-to-say, Wisconsin was the most bet on team in College Football for Week 12.  The OVER 67.5 was getting around 85 percent of the total betting action. 

Scouts Edge predicts a 10-point Wisconsin win:

Michigan's defense is coming off a strong performance against Purdue but will have a much tougher time against Wisconsin's big, tough offensive line. The Badgers will create seams for their backs and give Tolzien enough time to find the open man downfield. That will result in a lead that forces the Wolverines to throw more than they want to in an effort to come back, and Wisconsin will be able to hold the lead by bleeding the clock in the second half.

Although leading rusher John Clay will be missing for this weekend’s showdown, Wisconsin still has three players that have rushed for over 500 yards.

"I don't know if we'll have that three-headed thing this week because John I think won't be at full strength, but when that situation does pop up, whether it's the next game or in the bowl game opportunity, it's something you've got to be smart about when and how you use them," coach Bret Bielema said. "I think it's hard to get three guys in rhythm all the way through, but you can definitely go a strong two and the third one comes in when he's needed."

Wisconsin's defense is also a threat, having scored points off all seven turnovers it forced the last two games.

The Wolverines are hopeful they can stop Wisconsin with their potent defense.

Let’s look at some important betting trends involving this game.  Trends related to Michigan in this game Against The Spread are dismal, Gambling911.com has noted.

In Weeks 10 through 13 over the past three seasons, Michigan is 1-8 ATS.

When playing a team with a winning record Michigan is 3-13 ATS.  The Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record(edge: Wisconsin)

Against conference opponents, Michigan is a mere 3-19, 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games.  The Badgers are 4-0 ATS (edge:  Wisconsin)

The home team has won the last 6 games in this series, however, Wisconsin has covered four of those and pushed in another.

The Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

The Wolverines are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com  

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