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Friday Night September 30 College Football Betting Previews: Washington vs. UCLA, SDSU vs. Boise State

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Sep/30/2022

Gambling911.com takes a look at some of this weekend's college football overlays and underlays as well as line movements and recent trends for Friday night's games.  We also have some prop bets below.

SDSU vs. Boise State

Both teams are 2-2 Straight Up and Boise State is yet to cover the spread, so we'll want to pay special attention to them.  The Aztecs have one cover thus far.

With the power ratings we get a number of 6.99.  The line has been on the money since Monday at Boise State -6.5 after opening at -4.5.

We have a good comparable here with the Middle Tennessee vs. James Madison that also had a line that went from +4.5 to +6.5 and ended up on the money. 

San Diego State did win last year's game by three points at home as a +3 dog and the year prior as a +13.5 dog, something that would mostly prevent us from pulling the trigger on the Broncos at -6.5.

Still, this one is mildly attactive lean on Boise State at that number.

Washington vs. UCLA

The line on this game has shifted between the Huskies -2.5, -3 and -3.5 with no actual movement per se.  We are getting a number of Washington 6.53, suggesting a 3 to 4 point underlay on this line.

The favorite has won in all four games we have monitored this season whereby the line has crossed the number 3 in both directions (2.5 and 3.5). 

While UCLA beat Washington on the road last season as a +1.5 underdog, the Huskies won the two previous years.  Do keep in mind that last year's Washington team went 4-8.  They've already won that many games heading into Week 5 of this season.

Both these teams come into Friday night's game with 4-0 records. Washington has covered their first four. UCLA is 2-2 Against The Spread.

Both teams also rank within the top 25 in both total offense and defense.  The Washington receivers might be what gives the Huskies an edge here. The UCLA secondary has struggled.

All the math and line analysis suggests Washington covers.  It's difficult though for a team to go 5-0 Against The Spread. 

SDSU vs. Boise State Winning Margin Prop Bets

Rot     Winning Margin     Moneyline
2019     San Diego St to win by 1-6 pts         +425
2020     San Diego St to win by 7-12 pts         +1000
2021     San Diego St to win by 13-18 pts         +2000
2022     San Diego St to win by 19-24 pts         +6000
2023     San Diego St to win by 25-30 pts         +10000
2024     San Diego St to win by 31-36 pts         +11000
2025     San Diego St to win by 37-42 pts         +12500
2026     San Diego St to win by 43 or more pts         +14000
2027     Boise St to win by 1-6 pts         +275
2028     Boise St to win by 7-12 pts         +375
2029     Boise St to win by 13-18 pts         +475
2030     Boise St to win by 19-24 pts         +850
2031     Boise St to win by 25-30 pts         +1400
2032     Boise St to win by 31-36 pts         +2200
2033     Boise St to win by 37-42 pts         +4000
2034     Boise St to win by 43 or more pts         +5000

Washington vs. UCLA Player Props

Rot     Michael Penix Jr. (Washington) Total Passing Yards     Moneyline
801     Over  316½  Passing Yards     -110
802     Under  316½  Passing Yards     -120
Must Start for action.
Rot     Michael Penix Jr. (Washington) Total Touchdown Passes     Moneyline
805     Over  2½  TD Passes     +120
806     Under  2½  TD Passes     -150
Must Start for action.
Rot     Michael Penix Jr. (Washington) Total Interceptions     Moneyline
807     Over  ½  Interceptions     -130
808     Under  ½  Interceptions     Ev
Rot     Dorian Thompson-Robinson (UCLA) Total Passing Yards     Moneyline
901     Over  226½  Passing Yards     -110
902     Under  226½  Passing Yards     -120
Must Start for action.
Rot     Dorian Thompson-Robinson (UCLA) Total Touchdown Passes     Moneyline
905     Over  1½  TD Passes     -135
906     Under  1½  TD Passes     +105
Must Start for action.
Rot     Dorian Thompson-Robinson (UCLA) Total Interceptions     Moneyline
907     Over  ½  Interceptions     -140
908     Under  ½  Interceptions     +110

Washington vs. UCLA Margin of Victory Prop Bets


Rot     Winning Margin     Moneyline
2019     Washington to win by 1-6 pts         +350
2020     Washington to win by 7-12 pts         +600
2021     Washington to win by 13-18 pts         +800
2022     Washington to win by 19-24 pts         +1200
2023     Washington to win by 25-30 pts         +1800
2024     Washington to win by 31-36 pts         +2500
2025     Washington to win by 37-42 pts         +4000
2026     Washington to win by 43 or more pts         +4000
2027     UCLA to win by 1-6 pts         +375
2028     UCLA to win by 7-12 pts         +650
2029     UCLA to win by 13-18 pts         +900
2030     UCLA to win by 19-24 pts         +1400
2031     UCLA to win by 25-30 pts         +2200
2032     UCLA to win by 31-36 pts         +3300
2033     UCLA to win by 37-42 pts         +4500
2034     UCLA to win by 43 or more pts         +5500
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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