Steelers-Ravens Line at Baltimore -2.5: Pittsburgh Getting 81 Percent of Spread Action

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:
Sep/04/2011
Steelers-Ravens Line

The Steelers-Ravens line was coming in at -2.5 in favor of Baltimore, however, all the spread action was going towards Pittsburgh at around an 81 percent clip.  The line on this game has remained relatively steady.

Recent head-to-head trends suggest the Steelers should enjoy an edge here having won 3 of the last 4 and 6 of the last 8.  The other two games were lost by only 3 points.  Pittsburgh should make an outstanding play in any teaser.  Only once in the last 10 games facing Baltimore have the Steelers lost by more than 3 points (a 6 point loss in December of 2007).  Not surprisingly, they were seeing close to 80 percent of the exotics betting action. 

There are a handful of key trends that also favor Pittsburgh coming into this game.

The Steelers are 6-0 Against The Spread in their last 6 vs. AFC North.

The Steelers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.

The Steelers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

Other factors to consider when betting on this game:

 

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Baltimore allowed just 16.9 points per game last season.  The UNDER in this series is always tempting but the oddsmakers realize this and adjust accordingly.  The UNDER has only worked out in three of the last ten games in this series.  The UNDER in this game is 36The Ravens have gone OVER in both their preseason games played at home. 

The defensive-minded Ravens only had 27 sacks last season, the lowest in franchise history and 27th in the league.  New defensive coordinator Chuck Pagano should help shift that trend. 

That said, Pittsburgh led the league in number of sacks last year with 48. 

Speedy veteran receiver Lee Evans comes to Baltimore from Buffalo. 

The coverage issues in the secondary remain a concern.  The Steelers had the 12th ranked pass defense.

Troy Polamalu’s health is a concern for the Steelers. 

The Steelers-Ravens two games of the regular season are always among the most anticipated.

"It's like a (Floyd) Mayweather (Jr.)-(Manny) Pacquiao fight," Pittsburgh defensive lineman Ziggy Hood said. "It's going to be a slugfest, and we're geeked up. This is what you work for, and this is the way to rumble."

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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