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Rodgers’ Impact on Super Bowl Odds; Pats Open as 4.5-Point Favorite in SB Rematch

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
Oct/15/2017

According to oddsmakers at BookMaker.eu, Aaron Rodgers is worth 6-7 points to a line, depending on the opponent.

Prior to Week 6, the Packers had the third-lowest odds to win Super Bowl LII at +700 (7/1). Adjusted odds at BookMaker have moved the Packers' Super Bowl odds to +2500 odds (25/1).
In just the ninth Super Bowl rematch of the following season, New England opened as 4.5-point favorites over the sliding Falcons. This marks the smallest spread the Patriots have been favored by at home since 12/28/14 (vs. Buffalo). 

List of Super Bowl Rematches in NFL History (spread in parenthesis)
2017: Falcons at Patriots (-4.5)
2016: Panthers 20 at Broncos 21 (+3)
2014: Broncos 20 at Seahawks 26 (-4)
1997: Packers 28 at Patriots 10 (-1.5)
1993: Bills 13 at Cowboys 10 (-5)
1979: Steelers 14 at Cowboys 3
1977: Vikings 13 at Raiders 35
1970: Chiefs 10 at Vikings 27

NFL Week 7 Opening Odds 

Chiefs at Raiders (+3, 47.5)

Titans at Browns (OFF)

Jaguars at Colts (OFF)

Bengals at Steelers (-6, 41)

Ravens at Vikings (-4.5, 39.5)

Jets at Dolphins (-3.5, 38.5)

Buccaneers at Bills (OFF)

Panthers at Bears (+4, 41)

Saints at Packers (OFF)

Cardinals at Rams (-3, 47.5)

Cowboys at 49ers (+6, 47)

Seahawks at Giants (OFF)

Broncos at Chargers (OFF)

Falcons at Patriots (-4.5, 53.5)

Redskins at Eagles (-5.5, 48.5)

Notes:

- San Francisco is the first team in NFL history to lose five straight games by three points or fewer


College Football Week 8 Opening Odds

Top 25

Tennessee at Alabama (-33)
Michigan at Penn State (-12.5)
Kansas at TCU (-38)
Maryland at Wisconsin (-24)
Syracuse at Miami (-14.5)
Oklahoma at Kansas State (+12.5)
Oklahoma State at Texas (+6)
USC at Notre Dame (-3.5)
North Carolina at Virginia Tech (-21)
Colorado at Washington State (-10)
South Florida at Tulane (+11)
Indiana at Michigan State (-7)
UCF at Navy (+6.5)
Auburn at Arkansas (OFF)
West Virginia at Baylor (+9.5)
LSU at Ole Miss (+7)
Memphis at Houston (-2) 


Full Schedule

Memphis at Houston (-2)

UL Lafayette at Arkansas State (-13)

Western Kentucky at Old Dominion (+10)

Marshall at Middle Tennessee State (+2.5)

Air Force at Nevada (+5.5)

Colorado State at New Mexico (+6.5)

Iowa at Northwestern (+1)

Tulsa at Connecticut (+7)

Troy at Georgia State (+10)

SMU at Cincinnati (OFF)

North Texas at Florida Atlantic (-6.5)

Buffalo at Miami Ohio (OFF)

Akron at Toledo (OFF)

Kent at Ohio (-21)

Northern Illinois at Bowling Green (+14)

Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan (OFF)

Indiana at Michigan State (-7)

UAB at Charlotte (+4.5)

Temple at Army (-6.5)

BYU at East Carolina (+7.5)

Purdue at Rutgers (+8)

Pittsburgh at Duke (-8)

Syracuse at Miami (-14.5)

Central Michigan at Ball State (+2.5)

Wake Forest at Georgia Tech (-8.5)

Coastal Carolina at Appalachian State (OFF)

Michigan at Penn State (-12.5)

Maryland at Wisconsin (-24)

North Carolina at Virginia Tech (-21)

Boston College at Virginia (-7)

Wyoming at Boise State (-14)

Kansas at TCU (-38)

Rice at UTSA (-18.5)

Georgia Southern at UMass (-7)

UCF at Navy (+6.5)

Idaho at Missouri (-14)

Kentucky at Mississippi State (-10)

South Florida at Tulane (+11)

Utah State at UNLV (-2.5)

Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech (-3.5)

Oregon at UCLA (-6.5)

Arizona at Cal (-1.5)

Illinois at Minnesota (-14.5)

Tennessee at Alabama (-33)

Oklahoma State at Texas (+6)

West Virginia at Baylor (+9.5)

Auburn at Arkansas (OFF)

Louisville at Florida State (-7)

UL Monroe at South Alabama (-5)

USC at Notre Dame (-3.5)

Oklahoma at Kansas State (+12.5)

LSU at Ole Miss (+7)

Iowa State at Texas Tech (-5)

Arizona State at Utah (OFF)

Colorado at Washington State (-10)

Fresno State at San Diego State (-11.5)

Early Sharp Action:

- Michigan +12.5 to +10
- Northwestern +1 to -1.5
- North Texas +6.5 to +3
- UAB -4 to -7
- East Carolina +7.5 to +5.5
- UTSA -18.5 to -21.5
- Arizona +1.5 to -1

Notes:

- Penn State (-12.5) is favored over Michigan for the first time since 2009

- Tennessee is the largest underdog (+33) its been since before the 1985 season. The Vols have lost 10 straight to Alabama, and the Tide has been favored by at least two touchdowns in nine straight

- Purdue (-8) is favored in a road game for the first time since 11/17/12 (at Illinois)

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