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The Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Miami Dolphins spread has remained steady all week long with the Steelers coming in as a -3 road favorite at Sportsbook.com. Action on the game spread was going towards Pittsburgh at an 80 percent clip (and closer to 85 percent on the moneyline).
Ben Roethlisberger goes on the road for the first time this year as his 4-1 Steelers travel to Miami in search of their fifth straight win over the Dolphins.
Miami is coming off an overtime win at Green Bay, but the Fins are in for a different challenge this week. The Packers never tried to establish the run, allowing Miami to dominate the ball. Pittsburgh will run (131 rush YPG), and the Dolphins have been burned by good rushing teams, yielding 156 yards to the Vikings and 146 to the Jets.
In Week 17 last year, the Steelers won 30-24 in Miami behind three touchdown passes from Roethlisberger. In his season debut last week against the Browns, Roethlisberger was 16-of-27 for 257 yards with three touchdowns and one interception. Pittsburgh’s defense has been the strongest in the league, leading the NFL in scoring defense (12.0 PPG) and rushing defense (63.8 YPG). The Steelers have also forced 15 turnovers, which ties them for the league lead with Detroit.
Some important trends to consider before betting on the Steelers vs. Dolphins spread include:
As a home underdog, the Dolphins are just 1-5 Against The Spread over the last three seasons. They are just 5-14 in all home games over this period of time in the last three seasons. The Steelers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Steelers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite, but the home/road trend strongly favors Pittsburgh here, Gambling911.com believes. (edge: Steelers)
The Dolphins are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. The Steelers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Gambling911.com does not see stats related to a most recent Straight Up or Against The Spread win as having any real value for either team coming into this game.
Ean Lamb reporting for Gambling911.com.
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