NFL: Is Super Bowl 2010 Pointspread Correct?

Written by:
Carrie Stroup
Published on:
Super Bowl Pointspread

Looking at the Super Bowl 2010 NFL pointspread, one has to ask:  Could this number really be correct?

Any coach past or present will tell you the game of football is about two things, blocking and tackling. While that is absolutely true in its simplest form, Super Bowl XLIV is different from the past with the possible exception of just a handful of contests for the Lombardi Trophy. Start with the total of this confrontation, set at 56.5, the highest ever, surpassing the Giants and New England figure of 54 points two years ago. The most recent pointspread shows Indianapolis -4.5, with 67% of the betting action at on that side.

After the Colts solved the Jets defense in winning the AFC Championship, most odds-makers were thinking Indianapolis as three-point favorite against the winner of the NFC contest. However, since New Orleans was dominated statistically in their matchup by Minnesota, most thought 3.5 or four points would draw relatively divided action. With roughly 15-20 percent of the dollars wagered on the side of the Super Bowl by this past Sunday, the vast majority of the action had been on Indy, moving them to -5.5 points, but the Dwight Freeney news shoved the number back down to -4.5. In breaking down the two teams, is the number accurate?

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Carrie Stroup, Senior Reporter

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