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Gambling911.com has already touched on the New England Patriots odds to win the 2012 Super Bowl, which were around 5/1 as of August 21, 2011. Here we look at the Pats odds when it comes to regular season wins total.
That number was set by oddsmakers at OVER/UNDER 11.5 -140.
On the surface, that number looks pretty low, especially when the oddsmakers have made New England the early favorite to win the 2012 Super Bowl.
It does make a degree of sense why the Patriots might be coming in at 11.5 on the OVER/UNDER. Their home games won’t be easy. Meetings include the Chargers, Jets, Cowboys, Giants, Chiefs and Colts. It is conceivable that the Patriots could lose one or even two of these games, but we’ll say one.
On the road, New England faces three tough teams in the Jets, Steelers and Eagles.
Three losses, possible four, seem like the likely scenario. As such, the Patriots winning OVER 11.5 regular season games at -140 does have good value.
Futures Betting Value Index:
New England Patriots odds to win the 2012 Super Bowl 5/1 – Very Good
New England Patriots odds to win the 2011 AFC East 1/2 - Good
New England Patriots odds to win OVER 11.5 regular season games - Good
- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com
