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More Line Analyses, Overlays and Underlays for Oct 1, 2022 College Football Games

Written by:
Mary Montgomery
Published on:
Sep/30/2022

Gambling911.com has your line analyses for a number of Week 5 college football games.

Oregon State vs. Utah

The line on this game has been Utes -10.5, off the -11.  We've seen a handful of books hit the -10.

Utah is rated No. 6 on Sagarin with a number of 86.37 plus the home field advantage of 1.89.  Oregon State was at 80.42.  We get a magic number of 7.84. That gives us a 2.5 to 3 point overlay.

Utah is 5-1 in this series. Only two of those were covered by the current spread.

MSU vs. Maryland

The line on this game went from Maryland -6.5 to -8.5 and was dropping back to -7.5. 

We get a number of 3.59, indicating a 3 to 5 point overlay.

The home team has won five of the last six but Michigan State has also won five of the last six.

Iowa State vs. Kansas

The line on this game has moved between Iowa State -3 and -3.5. 

We get a number of 3.66, which is right on the money.

A comparable game would be FAU -3 to -5.5 versus Ohio.  The home dog Bobcats won this outright.  This line was on the money when it opened and became a 2.5 overlay.

Iowa State vs. Kansas doesn't quite have the same line movement as FAU vs. Ohio had.

Iowa State has won the last seven games in this series.  The Jayhawks were a +18.5 or greater dog in the last five meetings.

Iowa State is 3-1 Straight Up and 2-2 Against The Spread. Kansas is 4-0 SU and ATS.

Oklahoma State vs. Baylor

The line on this one was Bears -2.5.  A review of the power ratings gives us a number of 3.3, which pretty much puts this one on the money.

A comparable game would be North Carolina (+1.5)+2.5 to +3  App State in which the dog covered.  This one was an accurate line that mainly moved from 2.5 to 3.

Oklahoma State has won two of the last three in this series, but lost by 5 last season at home.  The Cowboys were a +7 home dog and would have been a +11 dog on the road. 

Cowboys are 8-0 Against The Spread in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games.

The Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.

As a home favorite since 2017, Baylor is 17-3 Straight Up (85%).  A moneyline play on the Bears might be a good play here.

- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com

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