Jaguars vs. Falcons Line Thursday Night Football – Free Pick

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Dec/14/2011
Jaguars vs. Falcons Line Thursday Night Football – Free Pick

The Jaguars vs. Falcons line was coming in at -11 in favor of Atlanta, keeping in mind that the Falcons are just 5-7-1 Against The Spread this season.  This game can be bet at BetOnline.com here, offering up to $900 in FREE CASH (restrictions do apply). 

Last weekend, the Jaguars scored nearly 4 times what they have on average most of this season, beating Tampa Bay by a score of 41-14.  The Jaguars are 4-9 Against The Spread in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. 

Additionally, Jacksonville is 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.

Atlanta has only beaten teams twice by more than the current spread this season.   The Falcons are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.

We at Gambling911.com do not expect to see Jacksonville score many points against Atlanta, especially following that big offensive showing of this past weekend.  In 6 of their last 7 previous games they had not scored above 14 points (the lone exception was a game where they scored 17 points).   In 5 of Atlanta’s last 7 games, they scored no more than 24 points.  The OVER/UNDER on this game is 42.5.

A few more interesting stats that have Gambling911.com looking closely at the UNDER in this game:  The UNDER is 1-5 in Atlanta’s last home games.  The UNDER is 0-6 in Jacksonville’s away games.

The Under is 10-3 in Jaguars last 13 games overall.

The Under is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games following a ATS win.

The Under is 6-0 in Jaguars last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

The one solid OVER trend is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

The Under is 8-1 in Falcons last 9 games overall.

The Under is 7-0 in Falcons last 7 games following a S.U. win.

The Under is 5-0 in Falcons last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

We have no other choice but to be all over the OVER 42.5 here.  The betting public is providing 50/50 action on the total. 

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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