Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Bucs Prediction, Odds

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Nov/06/2009
Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Bucs Prediction, Odds

The Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Bucs prediction consensus is that the Packers will be able to cover the -9 ½ point odds being offered by Hollywood Sportsbook.  Better lock this line in now as some online sportsbooks were pushing this one up to -10 ½ at press time early Friday morning.

Over 75 percent of expert sports handicappers were on Green Bay with their fearless predictions.

The sports betting public was putting real cash money down on the Packers at a 90 percent clip at Hollywood Sportsbook on both the spread action and money line (-500).  The Packers were in fact the most bet on team of NFL Week 9.

Recreational shops and a few wise guy establishments were pushing this line up to -10 ½ while the majority of books were offering odds of -10 on the Packers.

The home team has won 8 of 10 in this series but Tampa Bay was a much better team over that period of time.  Last year, Tampa Bay did beat Green Bay at home by 9 points.  They have actually beaten the Packers the last two times these teams met, in 2008 and 2005, respectfully.  Tampa Bay remains winless coming into Sunday's game against Green Bay.

Here are some interesting Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Bucs odds trends to consider before betting on this game:

The Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss, which, in this case, is a very important stat.

The Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite.

The Packers are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 road games.

Green Bay is 17-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

One negative stat for the Packers - They are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home.

The Buccaneers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.

The Buccaneers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.

The Buccaneers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss.

The Buccaneers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games.

With nothing to lose after an 0-7 start, Tampa Bay is turning to its rookie first-round pick at quarterback. Josh Freeman has had a bye week to get prepared, but it won't be easy making his first start against Green Bay's savvy secondary.

Fresh off an emotional loss to Favre's Vikings, the Packers cannot afford to have a letdown against the Bucs. They must regroup mentally and get ready to go against a team, that while struggling, is rested off a bye and desperate for its first victory.

Tampa will also have to win the always-important turnover battle, according to Scouts.com. That will not be easy however, as Green Bay has excelled in this department this season.

Gambling911.com agrees with the experts and betting public, Green Bay should cover the -9 ½ point line.  A failure to do so will result in a nice profit for the online bookmakers. 

Get 40 percent cash signup bonuses at Hollywood Sportsbook here.  In Business since 1997 and a staple of the online sportsbook community.

Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

 

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