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Florida vs. Alabama Prediction

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Oct/02/2010
Florida vs. Alabama Prediction

 

This Florida vs. Alabama prediction is courtesy of Pregame.com.

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The Alabama Crimson Tide host the Florida Gators in one of the most anticipated games of the season.


 These two powerhouses are ranked in the Top 10, and they both have hoisted the BCS National Championship trophy in the past few years. The Crimson Tide are 9.5 favorites tonight, with a total of 47.5 points expected. CBS will televise this game starting at 8:00 EDT.

Alabama is coming into this rivalry game with momentum from their come from behind last week in Arkansas. The defending BCS champions are playing like just that, the consensus #1 team in the nation. Alabama is 3-1 ATS this season, with their lone loss coming in their best win of the season, last week at Arkansas. Alabama has a top 30 passing and rushing offense this season, leading to the 15th best scoring offense in the nation at 39.5 PPG. The Crimson Tide are very healthy right now, with RB Mark Ingram leading the way. The reigning Heisman Trophy winner has been dynamic since his return from injury. Ingram has already scored 4 TD's in limited action, and is averaging over 9 YPC this season. The Crimson Tide defense has been stellar this year, allowing a nation low 9.8 PPG this year. The Crimson Tide still has room for improvement defensively though, as they need to work on pressuring the QB more. The status of DL Marcell Dareus is a huge factor heading into this battle with Florida. Alabama is 6-1-1 ATS in their past 8 meetings against Florida.

The Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Under is 12-4-1 in their last 17 conference games.

Florida is easily peaking at the right time, as they are playing their best football of the season right now. Florida is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS, winning each of their past 3 games ATS. Their latest SU and ATS win, a 48-14 blasting of Kentucky was easily their best played game this season to date. The Gators are in an unfamiliar role tonight, as they are the listed underdog for the first time in 39 games. Florida doesn't have the most dynamic of offenses this year, yet the are still putting points on the board. The Gators are averaging 37.8 PPG this season, 19th most in the nation. QB John Brantley will have to avoid making the costly turnover, and simply progress through his reads without getting rattled with the hostile environment. Trey Burton is likely to play a major role on offense tonight, as he is coming off a 6 TD performance against Kentucky last week. Defensively, the Gators are as good as ever, as they haven't allowed a single opponent to score more than 17 PTS this season. Florida is only allowing 14.3 PPG, the 15th best in the nation. The Gators typically play their best football on the road, going 12-3 ATS in their past 15 road games. The listed underdog in this series is 6-1-1 ATS in the past 8 meetings, yet another confidence booster for the Gators.

The Gators are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games against a team with a winning home record. The Under is 5-0 in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Pregame.com projects the final score to be 24-20 in favor of the Alabama Crimson Tide. The Florida Gators +9.5 is the Side of the Day!

Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com 

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