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Connecticut vs. Louisville Line: Great Middling Opportunity

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Oct/21/2010

If you are looking to bet on the Connecticut vs. Louisville game, it is important to realize that the line is all over the map.  Gambling911.com actually found a total of five different lines on this game, including one that slightly favors Connecticut.

Beted.com, for example, listed Connecticut with a 1-point line.  

Bookmaker.com, meanwhile, had Connecticut at +2.

Ideally you would want to bet Louisville at BetED.com and Connecticut at Bookmaker.com, then hope that Louisville wins by just one point, which is one of the more common score differentials outside of say 3, 6, 7, 9 and 14.

Connecticut has won the last three in this series. 

Some other important trends to consider in this game whether you wish to middle or just bet on one side include:

Connecticut is 13-5 ATS in all games over the past three seasons while Louisville is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. (edge:  Connecticut)

The Huskies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog although the Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.

The Huskies are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following an ATS loss.  The Cardinals are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss. (edge:  Connecticut)

Louisville is just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 conference games. (edge:  Connecticut)

There are some good stats applying to the OVER 54.5 in this game.  The OVER is 10-1 in the Huskies last 11 games following a S.U. loss, 7-0 in Huskies last 7 conference games and 7-0 in Huskies last 7 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0. – Don Shapiro reporting for Gambling911.com

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