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Buffalo Bills Season Preview 2010 – 2011

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Aug/06/2010
Buffalo Bills

 

The Buffalo Bills fan base readership is always strong for the Gambling911.com website year after year, regardless of any low expectations.  Sadly, this Buffalo Bills Season Preview for 2010 – 2011 won’t be a cure for the depression endured over these past several years.  Our friends at Sportsbook.com say TAKE THE UNDER in terms of regular season wins.  The UNDER is 5 ½.  OUCH!

While things aren't as bad in Buffalo as they seem to be at other NFL
locales these days, there certainly isn't a whole lot of optimism either.
The Bills haven't had a winning record since 2004 and are the clear-cut
underdog in a loaded AFC East Division. New head coach Chan Gailey has been
brought in to rebuild one of the league's worst offenses; it could be long
season.

Sportsbook.comAssorted Bills Odds

Odds to win Super Bowl XLV: +10000

Odds to win the AFC Title: +5000

Odds to win the AFC East: +2500

Over/Under Regular Season Wins: 5.5

SITUATIONAL RECORDS (2009 & 3 Year)

Straight Up: 6-10 ~ 20-28 (42%)
ATS: 8-7 ~ 25-22 (53%)
Preseason ATS: 1-3 ~ 6-6 (50%)
Home ATS: 3-3 ~ 11-10 (52%)
Road ATS: 5-4 ~ 14-12 (54%)
Division ATS: 3-2 ~ 8-9 (47%)
Conference ATS: 6-5 ~ 18-17 (51%)
Favorite ATS: 3-1 ~ 8-6 (57%)
Underdog ATS: 5-6 ~ 17-16 (52%)
Over-Under: 6-10 ~ 21-27 (44%)
 
2009 Key Team Stats & NFL Ranks
Scoring Differential: -4.2 (#23 of 32)
Yardage Differential: -66.5 (#26 of 32)

Yards Per Play Differential: -0.21 (#22 of 32)
Yards Per Point Differential: -0.36 (#17 of 32)
Turnover Differential: +3 (#11 of 32)
Total Offense (Yards Per Game): 275.9 (#30 of 32)
Total Defense (Yards Per Game): 342.4 (#19 of 32)
 
2010 SCHEDULE: Strength - 21.19 (9th toughest of 32)
DATE - OPPONENT, TIME
9/12/10 - MIAMI, 1:00 PM
9/19/10 - at Green Bay, 1:00 PM
9/26/10 - at New England, 1:00 PM
10/3/10 - NY JETS, 1:00 PM
10/10/10 - JACKSONVILLE, 1:00 PM
10/24/10 - at Baltimore, 1:00 PM
10/31/10 - at Kansas City, 1:00 PM
11/7/10 - CHICAGO (in Toronto), 1:00 PM
11/11/10 - DETROIT, 8:30 PM
11/21/10 - at Cincinnati, 1:00 PM
11/28/10 - PITTSBURGH, 1:00 PM
12/5/10 - at Minnesota, 1:00 PM
12/12/10 - CLEVELAND, 1:00 PM
12/19/10 - at Miami, 1:00 PM
12/26/10 - NEW ENGLAND, 1:00 PM
1/2/11 - at NY Jets, 1:00 PM
 
Key Bills Betting Trend:
BUFFALO is on a 13-2 UNDER the total (+10.8 Units) run on the road vs.
teams giving up 17 or less PPG The Average Score was BUFFALO 14, OPPONENT
22.8
 
2010 OUTLOOK


Thanks to injuries and suspensions Buffalo was doomed from the start of 2009. Additionally, they didn’t do themselves any favors by firing the offensive
coordinator just days before Week 1. Things haven't gotten much better since
the 6-10 campaign concluded, though a new regime, led by GM Buddy Nix and HC
Chan Gailey, is now in place. The primary focus for Gailey is an offense
that finished 28th in the NFL in scoring (16.1 PPG), and 30th in passing
(157.2 YPG).Offensive line injuries mixed with unsteady play from three
starting quarterbacks left a recipe for disaster. Things were so bad, they
left Terrell Owens speechless in his only season with the team. Given
Gailey's background as a QB-friendly coach, Trent Edwards could become a
viable starter, and the Bills have upgraded the skill positions by the
selection of RB C.J. Spiller (1-Clemson). He is a game-breaker that gives
this offensively starved team hope. Unfortunately, the line as a whole
wasn't adequately addressed, and Gailey is going to have his work cut out in
protecting the QB and jump-starting the ground game. What's most surprising
about the Bills defense is how well it held up in the face of a struggling
offense. Buffalo managed to avoid wearing down and closed the year by
holding six of its final seven opponents to less than 20 points. The
unquestioned strength was a pass defense that ranked No. 2 in the NFL (184.2
YPG) and finished second in interceptions (28). As strong as the secondary
is, the line was equally as weak, getting pushed around for 156.3 RYPG and a
hefty 4.7 yards per carry.Buffalo is pegged for the basement no matter how
you slice it. The AFC East is loaded at the top. Gailey and Spiller aren't
miracle workers, and lacking a solid offensive line means points are still
going to be tough to come by.
 
Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 5.5

The Bills look like one of the worst teams in, if not the NFL, then certainly the AFC. As you go through the season schedule, you can point to 10 of 16 games in which they will be definite underdogs. Can they muster up more than one win within their division? Take the UNDER.

Carrie Stroup, Gambling911.com Senior Reporter


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