Tom Brady 'Retires' But When Will Bets Be Graded?

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:

The Tampa Bay Bucs were among the most disappointing teams in 2022 but somehow managed to limp into the playoffs courtesy of a very bad NFC South division. 

The odds of Tom Brady retiring (again) after this season were much stronger as a result and it became somewhat official Wednesday February 1 as Brady took to his social media account to make the announcement. 

Of course we've been down this route before.  Last year, Brady retired only to return to the Bucs ahead of the 2022 regular season.

As far as the grading goes, it's likely these bets will not be graded until after Week 1 of the 2023 regular NFL season.


"Good morning guys, I’ll get to the point right away. I’m retiring for good,” Brady said.

“I know the process was a pretty big deal last time so when I woke up this morning I figured I just press record and let you guys know first. I won’t be long-winded, you only get one super-emotional retirement essay and I used mine up last year.”

"Tom Brady will be remembered as one of the greatest to ever play in the NFL," commissioner Roger Goodell said after Brady retired in 2022. "An incredible competitor and leader, his stellar career is remarkable for its longevity but also for the sustained excellence he displayed year after year. Tom made everyone around him better and always seemed to rise to the occasion in the biggest moments. ... It has been a privilege to watch him compete and have him in the NFL."

Brady Retirement Odds Coming Into 2023

SportsBetting had him at -130 odds to retire just prior to this game.

Afterwards, on Tuesday morning, those odds were now

Will Tom Brady retire?

Yes +110

No -150

Will Tom Brady retire and then un-retire? (Must announce retirement prior to Week 1 of 2023 regular season and then come out of retirement and be on roster Week 1 of 2023 season)

Yes +700

No -2000

"Not the way we wanted to end it, but we didn't deserve it," said Brady after the Monday night loss that abruptly concluded the Bucs forgetable season.

"I think there's a part of football where I feel like it's -- sometimes you get lucky, but most of the time, the team that earns it wins, and they played [well] all year."

Brady's contract is set to expire.  He will become an unrestricted free agent at age 45 unless the Bucs are able to re-sign him. Brady will be free to sign with any team should he choose to keep playing.  SportsBetting.ag is offering those odds as well and currently have Brady as the favorite to start for the Las Vegas Raiders next season.

Brady's hardly the only top quarterback that could be departing after this season.

Looking ahead to next season, many are expecting a few league vets to hang up the cleats, and there could be a some current starters leading different teams in 2023.

SportsBetting.ag has set odds on the speculation with props on who will retire first between Brady, Matt Ryan, Aaron Rodgers and Matthew Stafford, as well as which QBs will be on new teams.

Additionally, there is a fun Brady-Belichick prop on the board as well.

Tom Brady Team in Week 1                 

Las Vegas Raiders          +300

New York Jets               +350

New England Patriots    +400

San Francisco 49ers       +650

Indianapolis Colts          +750

Baltimore Ravens          +900

Atlanta Falcons             +1000

Miami Dolphins             +1000

New Orleans Saints       +1000

Washington Commanders+1000

Tennessee Titans          +1200

Houston Texans            +2500


Raiders QB in Week 1              

Tom Brady                    +300

Jimmy Garoppolo          +325

Lamar Jackson              +650

Aaron Rodgers              +750

Jarrett Stidham             +800

Anthony Richardson      +1000

Bryce Young                  +1100

Matt Ryan                    +1200

Will Levis                      +1200

Baker Mayfield             +1400

CJ Stroud                      +1400


Jets QB in Week 1                    

Derek Carr                    +250

Jimmy Garoppolo          +350

Tom Brady                    +350

Lamar Jackson              +450

Mike White                   +550

Aaron Rodgers              +750

Zach Wilson                  +900

Bryce Young                  +1600

CJ Stroud                      +1600

Will Levis                      +1600

Baker Mayfield             +3300

Joe Flacco                     +6600


Super Bowl LVII MVP

Patrick Mahomes          +375

Josh Allen                     +500

Jalen Hurts                   +650

Brock Purdy                  +700

Joe Burrow                   +950

Christian McCaffrey       +1200

Dak Prescott                 +1200

Deebo Samuel              +1600

Travis Kelce                  +2500

Devin Singletary            +3300

Stefon Diggs                 +3300

Trevor Lawrence           +3300

Daniel Jones                 +4000

Ja'Maar Chase               +4000

AJ Brown                      +5000

Micah Parsons              +5000

Nick Bosa                      +5000

Devonta Smith              +6600

Saquon Barkley             +6600

Ceedee Lanb                 +9000

Tony Pollard                 +10000

Dawson Knox                +12500

Ezekiel Elliott                +12500

Travis Etienne               +12500

George Kittle                +15000

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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