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2017 NFL Season Win Totals

Written by:
Guest
Published on:
Jul/31/2017

Gambling911.com has your 2017 NFL season win totals with some variations per book and some potential changes as the new season approaches due to pre-season performance, training camp performance and especially injuries.

Arizona Cardinals

    OVER 8.0 -140

    UNDER 8.0 +110

The Verdict: Arizona will have a tough time compensating for Calais Campbell's departure.  The Cardinals special teams will be improved enough, however, that they should be able to get over that .500 hump, especially in this division.  Of course, all of this is a mute point if Carson Palmer cannot stay healthy.  Nine or ten wins this season seem very much in reach.

Atlanta Falcons

    OVER 9.5 -130

    UNDER 9.5 EVEN

The Verdict: Matt Ryan is expected to continue his solid play under new offensive coordinator in Steve Sarkisian.  The Kyle Shanahan-implemented system is not expected to change much.  The supporting cast continues to be solid for Ryan with one big difference: They’ve added more pieces to the front seven. First-round pick UCLA edge rusher Takkarist McKinley should have a quick impact on the deep rotation at defensive end.  Gotta love that OVER.

Baltimore Ravens

    OVER 9.0 EVEN

    UNDER 9.0 -130

Buffalo Bills

    OVER 6.0 -150

    UNDER 6.0 +120

Carolina Panthers

    OVER 8.5 -175

    UNDER 8.5 +145

Chicago Bears

    OVER 5.5 +135

    UNDER 5.5 -165

The Verdict: Fresh from an underperforming season with the New York Giants, Victor Cruz is likely to improve with the change in scenery many believe.  After all, Cruz finished the first two seasons in the league with over 1,000 yards receiving.

Mitchell Trubisky will likely be starting for the Bears, but probably not until Week 3, if not later.

Jordan Howard is likely to be the league’s best rusher.  In just 15 games played last season he finished with the second most rushing yards (1,313) in the NFL.

But Chicago did score 21 or fewer points in eight of their last ten games of 2016, a few games under the 25.5 threshold we’d like to see, assuming both teams are made equal, in surpassing the 50.5 total posted.

Cincinnati Bengals

    OVER 8.5 -105

    UNDER 8.5 -125

Cleveland Browns

    OVER 4.5 -115

    UNDER 4.5 -115

The Verdict: They drafted Myles Garrett, who Barnwell predicts will “be a building block alongside Jamie Collins, Danny Shelton and Joe Haden in Cleveland's new 4-3 defense under Gregg Williams”. They also massively upgraded their offensive line.  And it’s not as if Brock Osweiler (looking like the favorite early on to become Cleveland’s starting quarterback) isn’t good.

Dallas Cowboys

    OVER 9.5 -125

    UNDER 9.5 -105

Denver Broncos

    OVER 8.5 -105

    UNDER 8.5 -125

Detroit Lions

    OVER 8.0 +120

    UNDER 8.0 -150

The Verdict:  Poor depth at the running back position and thin at the defensive end, Detroit could reach the .500 mark but going OVER is highly unlikely.  The -150 price on the UNDER is a little steep for our tastes however. 

Green Bay Packers

    OVER 10.0 -175

    UNDER 10.0 +145

The Verdict:  A strong defensive backfield.  The offensive line was a concern as we approached training camp but looked good early on.   Only six players remain on the roster from the last title team, however.  That -175 price tag on the OVER 10 is not exactly enticing even if an 11 or better win season looks likely.

Houston Texans

    OVER 8.5 -125

    UNDER 8.5 -105

Indianapolis Colts

    OVER 9.0 +110

    UNDER 9.0 -140

Jacksonville Jaguars

    OVER 6.0 -165

    UNDER 6.0 +135

Verdict: From ESPN.com: An improved defense and an increasingly run-oriented offense will help Bortles' efficiency improve -- think Jay Cutler in 2015, if all goes well -- but an honest assessment will finally force the Jaguars to pursue another starter next offseason.  Andrew Luck shoulder concerns and the Texans looking to take a step back should help Jacksonville reach the .500 mark.  We can deal with the price here with a wins total of 6.

Kansas City Chiefs

    OVER 9.0 -130

    UNDER 9.0 EVEN

Los Angeles Chargers

    OVER 7.5 -125

    UNDER 7.5 -105

Los Angeles Rams

    OVER 5.5 +110

    UNDER 5.5 -140

Miami Dolphins

    OVER 7.5 -125

    UNDER 7.5 -105

Verdict: The Dolphins went 8-2 in games within a touchdown in 2016 and this type of performance cannot sustain without making the necessary improvements.  Miami must be able to limit turnovers if they want any chance of getting over the. 500 mark again in 2017.  The odds of this happening are not very good.  Miami could still be 2nd best in this division, which should mean at least 8 regular season wins though 7 is still probable.

Minnesota Vikings

    OVER 8.5 -125

    UNDER 8.5 -105

Verdict:  It’s hard to see the Vikings not winning at least nine regular season games in 2017 with a significantly improved offensive line. From ESPN.com: Massively in need of an upgrade at tackle, general manager Rick Spielman paid a premium to find veterans at both spots. On the left side, he imported Lions tackle Riley Reiff, who spent four years on the left side amid regular speculation that Detroit didn't particularly value him there before moving him to the right side after drafting Taylor Decker in 2016. The Vikings are paying Reiff $36 million over the first three years of his deal, so Reiff will need to stick on the left side and play well to justify his contract.

New England Patriots

    OVER 12.5 -130   

    UNDER 12.5 EVEN

Verdict:  A better team than last year’s Super Bowl winning squad.  Take the OVER.  Nuff said.

New Orleans Saints

    OVER 8.0 -125

    UNDER 8.0 -105

Verdict:  Brandin Cooks gone and a defense that probably won’t be able to compete in the NFC South.  Will be tough to reach the .500 mark, and that’s the best we can see them doing.

New York Giants

    OVER 9.0 -115

    UNDER 9.0 -115

Verdict:  From ESPN.com: The Giants will win the NFC East as Eli Manning finally has a big receiver he can trust, and Marshall finally has a QB he can trust. Note that Marshall's 941 career receptions came from Jay Cutler (445), Ryan Fitzpatrick (148), Kyle Orton (100), Chad Henne (96), Matt Moore (63), Josh McCown (36), Bryce Petty (11) and ... you get the point.  10 or more regular season wins looks promising and at a good price.

New York Jets

    OVER 4.5 +160

    UNDER 4.5 -200

Oakland Raiders

    OVER 10.0 -105

    UNDER 10.0 -125

Philadelphia Eagles

    OVER 8.0 -140

    UNDER 8.0 +110

Pittsburgh Steelers

    OVER 10.5 -115

    UNDER 10.5 -115

Verdict:  Early appearances on the injury list have us here at Gambling911.com concerned about betting the OVER.  The last week in July, rookie running back James Conner left practice with an injured left shoulder after what had been an impressive performance.  Conner was one of seven injured Steelers. Others on the injury list included linebacker Vince Williams, safety Mike Mitchell, cornerback Senquez Golson, tight ends Scott Orndoff and Xavier Grimble, and rookie linebacker Keion Adams.

San Francisco 49ers

    OVER 4.5 -150

    UNDER 4.5 +120

Seattle Seahawks

    OVER 10.5 -115

    UNDER 10.5 -115

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    OVER 8.5 -130

    UNDER 8.5 EVEN

Verdict:  Acquiring WR DeSean Jackson improves an offense that was not that bad last season (they did go 9-7).  The law of gravity suggests Tampa Bay should have at least one more win this season, thus making the OVER very much in reach.

Tennessee Titans

    OVER 8.5 -150

    UNDER 8.5 +120

Verdict:  A team can’t fail with this lethal combination: One of the best young quarterbacks in the league, top backfield duo, improved wide out position, solid run defense and a drastically improved secondary.  They also have one of the best offensive lines in the league.

Washington Redskins

    OVER 7.5 -130

    UNDER 7.5 EVEN

- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com

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