Firenze Fire Post Position Chances of Winning the Kentucky Derby

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Firenze Fire will start from post position number one with long 50-1 odds. SCROLL DOWN FOR MORE


While the number one post position in the past has produced eight winners, the outside is today considered among the most dreaded. 

Winners: Ferdinand (1986); Chateaugay (1963); Needles (1956); Hill Gail (1952); Citation (1948); Gallahadion (1940); Lawrin (1938); War Admiral (1937).

RacingDudes.com explains why #1 is so bad:

Even though the #1 post shows a 9.2 win % historically, any horse that draws it nowadays is a complete toss-out. The rail is the worst place to be because the Churchill starting chute lines up directly with the rail once it connects to the main track. With 19 other horses all pushing down from the outside towards the rail, the horse in the #1 post is in danger of getting hit or pushed into the rail shortly after the start.


JASON SERVIS (FIRENZE FIRE, Post Position 1, 50-1) – “I think it’s a lot better than 19 or 20, really. I’d rather be inside. I’m OK with it.”


Justify (3-1)
Mendelssohn (5-1)
Magnum Moon (6-1)
Bolt d'Oro (8-1)
Audible (8-1)
Good Magic (12-1)
Vino Rosso (12-1)
Hofburg (20-1)
My Boy Jack (30-1)
Enticed (30-1)
Solomini (30-1)
Noble Indy (30-1)
Flameaway (30-1)
Free Drop Billy (30-1)
Promises Fulfilled (30-1)
Bravazo (50-1)
Lone Sailor (50-1)
Firenze Fire (50-1)
Instilled Regard (50-1)
Combatant (50-1)
Blended Citizen (50-1, also eligible)

- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com

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